Wisdom of the Mock Draft Crowds 2016 NFL Mock Draft


Welcome to the Wisdom of the Crowds Mock Draft rankings. This looks at 20 different mock drafts (links below) and takes a weighted average of the selections. Why weighted? Well, the most optimistic opinion carries more weight than the pessimistic one. If five people think a player is the best in the draft, it doesn’t matter if the sixth thinks he is the 20th best or the 300th best. He’s going highly.

Here was last year’s version. This is not an attempt to match specific players to team needs. In fact, several of them make no sense unless there is a trade (Cowboys are likely not taking a lineman, Tennessee is not taking a quarterback, etc.). Rather, it’s to provide a range, and so you can see where the likely tiers are. Ultimately, we see trades and lots of moves, and a few surprises no one saw coming.

  1. QB Jared Goff (Los Angeles Rams)  — 1.0 weighted average
  2. QB Carson Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles) — 2.0
  3. CB Jalen Ramsey (San Diego Chargers) — 3.4
  4. OT Laremy Tunsil (Dallas Cowboys) — 3.4
  5. DE Joey Bosa (Jacksonville Jaguars) — 4.1
  6. DE DeForest Buckner (Baltimore Ravens) — 4.9
  7. OT Ronnie Stanley (San Francisco 49ers) — 5.3
  8. LB Myles Jack (Cleveland Browns) — 6.7
  9. RB Ezekiel Elliott (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) — 6.8
  10. OT Jack Conklin (New York Giants) — 9.4
  11. CB Vernon Hargreaves (Chicago Bears) – 9.6
  12. DE Leonard Floyd (New Orleans Saints) — 10.0
  13. DT Sheldon Rankins (Miami Dolphins) — 11.7
  14. DE Shaq Lawson (Oakland Raiders) — 12.6
  15. QB Paxton Lynch (Tennessee Titans) — 13.6
  16. LB Darron Lee (Detroit Lions) — 14.0
  17. OT Taylor Decker (Atlanta Falcons) — 15.8
  18. CB Eli Apple (Indianapolis Colts) — 16.5
  19. WR Josh Doctson (Buffalo Bills) — 17.6
  20. DT Jarran Reed (New York Jets) — 17.7
  21. CB William Jackson (Washington Redskins) — 18.2
  22. WR Laquon Treadwell (Houston Texans) — 19.8
  23. LB Reggie Ragland (Minnesota Vikings) — 20.4
  24. DE Robert Nkemdiche (Cincinnati Bengals) — 21.0
  25. WR Corey Coleman (Pittsburgh Steelers) — 22.2
  26. DT A’Shawn Robinson (Seattle Seahawks) — 22.5
  27. DE Kevin Dodd (Green Bay Packers) — 22.8
  28. C Ryan Kelly (Kansas City Chiefs) — 23.0
  29. S Karl Joseph (Arizona Cardinals) — 24.5
  30. WR Will Fuller (Carolina Panthers) — 25.7
  31. DE Noah Spence (Denver Broncos) — 25.8

The next 10 also most likely to go in first round: DT Andrew Billings, OT Germain Ifedi, DT Chris Jones, DT Vernon Butler, S Keanu Neal, S Vonn Bell, QB Connor Cook, CB Artie Burns, OT Jason Spriggs, DE Emmanuel Ogbah

The mock drafts came from writers at the following: NFL.com , ESPN Draft Nation plus Kiper/McShay, CBS Sports, Yahoo, SB Nation, Walter Football, Bleacher Report