NCAA Tournament 2012: West Region, Instant Analysis

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Knee-jerk favorite: Michigan State, followed by Louisville and … Florida?

Double-digit seed capable of a run: Davidson (13) and Long Beach State (12). Reminder: The Wildcats beat Kansas earlier this season, and Louisville is wildly inconsistent. Remember, the Cardinals lost in the first round last year. The 49ers have Casper Ware, who might be the 2nd best guard in the West Bracket (Brad Beal of Florida is tops).

The committee screwed up: Iona is in? Without a Top 50 RPI win? I’ll be rooting for the exciting Gaels to make a nice run because who doesn’t love an underdog?

Knee jerk Regional Final guess: Louisville vs. Florida. The flip side of course, is that both of these teams are up-and-down and could lose in the second round.