Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em, Week 10: Tampa's Offense Rolling and Vincent Jackson Gets a Chance for Revenge
By Jason Lisk
A quick word on these projections. I set my projections using team performance in categories for the year, and then also comparing the opponent’s yards and touchdowns allowed. Obviously, the Patriots “quarterbacks” represents Tom Brady, and will also continue to do so going forward. For cases like the Titans at quarterback this week, or Emmanuel Sanders or Taiwan Jones tepping in to a more prominent role, though, it matters. Depending on the position, the opponent adjustment applies more heavily. For quarterbacks, there is more variation so I weight the individual more heavily. For tight ends, the same is true, because Gronkowski is going to get his no matter what and matchups only matter in deciding between otherwise even players.
I then guess at the percentage distribution of production by team, based on things like what they’ve done recently, and the matchup. Sometimes it is complete guesswork. How will Oakland divide up between Taiwan Jones and Marcel Reece? I went 60/40 Jones. For others, it’s pretty consistent, we can be sure that Adrian Peterson and Marshawn Lynch will get almost all of their team’s running back numbers.
The matchup starts, among guys not likely to be starters normally, are:
QB: Josh Freeman (time to get him in the lineup), Joe Flacco (Raiders secondary issues) and if you are desperate, Jake Locker against the Dolphins.
RB: Isaac Redman and Jonathan Dwyer against the Chiefs, Taiwan Jones and Marcel Reece, Jacquizz Rodgers against the Saints.
WR: Brian Hartline and Davone Bess vs. the Titans, Emmanuel Sanders vs. the Chiefs, Donald Jones vs. the Patriots.
QUARTERBACKS
- Tom Brady vs. BUF
- Matt Ryan at NO
- Drew Brees vs. ATL
- Peyton Manning at CAR
- Ben Roethlisberger vs. KC
- Josh Freeman vs. SD
- Matt Stafford at MIN
- Cam Newton vs. DEN
- Carson Palmer at BAL
- Joe Flacco vs. OAK
- Eli Manning at CIN
- Ryan Fitzpatrick at NE
- Andy Dalton vs. NYG
- Tony Romo at PHI
- Michael Vick vs. DAL
- Philip Rivers at TB
- Jake Locker at MIA
- Alex Smith vs. STL
- Jay Cutler vs. HOU
- Matt Schaub at CHI
- Ryan Tannehill vs. TEN
- Russell Wilson vs. NYJ
- Christian Ponder vs. DET
- Sam Bradford at SF
- Mark Sanchez at SEA
- Matt Cassel at PIT
RUNNING BACKS
- Ray Rice vs. OAK
- Doug Martin vs. SD
- Marshawn Lynch vs. NYJ
- Arian Foster at CHI
- Adrian Peterson vs. DET
- Stevan Ridley vs. BUF
- Willis McGahee at CAR
- Reggie Bush vs. TEN
- Michael Turner at NO
- Frank Gore vs. STL
- LeSean McCoy vs. DAL
- Jamaal Charles at PIT
- C.J. Spiller at NE
- Ryan Mathews at TB
- Shonn Greene at SEA
- Isaac Redman vs. KC
- Chris Johnson at MIA
- Matt Forte vs. HOU
- Ahmad Bradshaw at CIN
- Pierre Thomas vs. ATL
- Taiwan Jones at BAL
- Mikel LeShoure at MIN
- Jonathan Dwyer vs. KC
- Daniel Thomas vs. TEN
- Marcel Reece at BAL
- Jonathan Stewart vs. DEN
- Benjarvus Green-Ellis vs. NYG
- Felix Jones at PHI
- Jacquizz Rodgers at NO
- Shane Vereen vs. BUF
- Andre Brown at CIN
- Danny Woodhead vs. BUF
- DeAngelo Williams vs. DEN
- Ronnie Hillman at CAR
- Steven Jackson at SF
- Joique Bell at MIN
- Kendall Hunter vs. STL
- Fred Jackson at NE
- Chris Ivory vs. ATL
- Bernard Pierce vs. OAK
WIDE RECEIVERS
- Roddy White at NO
- A.J. Green vs. NYG
- Brandon Marshall vs. HOU
- Julio Jones at NO
- Wes Welker vs. BUF
- Calvin Johnson at MIN
- Demaryius Thomas at CAR
- Vincent Jackson vs. SD
- Victor Cruz at CIN
- Miles Austin at PHI
- Eric Decker at CAR
- Kenny Britt at MIA
- Marques Colston vs. ATL
- Malcom Floyd at TB
- Torrey Smith vs. OAK
- Mike Wallace vs. KC
- Brian Hartline vs. TEN
- Dez Bryant at PHI
- Mike Williams vs. SD
- Steve Smith vs. DEN
- Andre Johnson at CHI
- Brandon Lloyd vs. BUF
- Denarius Moore at BAL
- Michael Crabtree vs. STL
- Davone Bess vs. TEN
- Anquan Boldin vs. OAK
- Titus Young at MIN
- Jeremy Kerley at SEA
- Steve Johnson vs. NE
- Darrius Heyward-Bey at BAL
- Hakeem Nicks at CIN*
- DeSean Jackson vs. DAL
- Lance Moore vs. ATL
- Emmanuel Sanders vs. KC
- Kendall Wright at MIA
- Danny Amendola at SF*
- Donald Jones at NE
- Sidney Rice vs. NYJ
- Jeremy Maclin vs. DAL
- Andrew Hawkins vs. NYG
TIGHT ENDS
- Rob Gronkowski vs. BUF
- Jimmy Graham vs. ATL
- Jason Witten at PHI
- Tony Gonzalez at NO
- Owen Daniels at CHI*
- Heath Miller vs. KC
- Vernon Davis vs. STL
- Antonio Gates at TB
- Brandon Myers at BAL
- Jermaine Gresham vs. NYG
- Greg Olsen vs. DEN
- Brandon Pettigrew at MIN
- Dustin Keller at SEA
- Scott Chandler at NE
- Brent Celek vs. DAL
- Dennis Pitta vs. OAK
- Kyle Rudolph vs. DET
- Jared Cook at MIA
- Anthony Fasano vs. TEN
- Jacob Tamme at CAR
[photo via US Presswire]