2011 NFL Draft: Patriots Take a Chance on Ryan Mallett in the Third Round
The third round of the NFL Draft may not be as flashy as the first round, but it is a point in the draft where there is a lot of variability in how careers turn out, and where future contenders can separate themselves. The majority (56%) of picks in the third never start a majority of their team’s games in more than 1 season in the NFL, but you can also get guys like Will Shields, Terrell Owens, Curtis Martin, Hines Ward, and Jason Taylor.
The Patriots made the biggest splash when they selected quarterback Ryan Mallett with the 74th pick. It will cause some Tom Brady buzz. Brady has already reportedly responded via text to Kurt Warner that “he is playing ten more years.” I don’t think we should view this as any threat to a healthy Tom Brady in the next few years. The Patriots simply saw too much value in Mallett at that point. Think of it like their willingness to trade a 2nd today for a 1st next year, or a 3rd today for a better pick tomorrow. The overreaction, and yes that’s what it was, to all this Mallett off the field stuff will subside. If he literally keeps his nose clean, and other teams start to see him dealing in pre-season and in relief of Brady if he ever misses a game with injury, they’ve turned it into a good investment.
And I’m not saying that everything the Patriots do turns to gold. I find their use of two picks in the second and third round on running backs to be rather curious. I think they’ve made their share of mistakes in personnel evaluation. But they handle the mechanics of the draft and understanding pick value well. View this like a trade back for more value and future picks, except they also handle depth at the quarterback position and insurance against a Brady injury in the process.
In other third round selections, I know that Buffalo is an easy target because of their recent drafts and lack of success, but I am really liking what they are doing in 2011 so far. They avoided getting in on the quarterback rush in a seller’s market, sitting pat and taking arguably the best or one of the best guys at each spot, and in doing so addressing three levels of a bad defense. In the third round, it was ILB Kelvin Sheppard, adding to DT Marcell Dareus in the 1st and CB Aaron Williams in the 2nd. I also really liked what the Chiefs, Bucs, and Saints did here.
Kansas City supposedly took a chance on DE Justin Houston, a first round talent who fell due to reports of a drug test fail. But as the majority of thirds don’t pan out, I like taking a better talent here. Heck, several guys who appear now like great character guys will make mistakes in the next few years, but you are getting a discount right at the draft.
The Bucs just continued to add talent on defense to bolster what looks to be an emerging offense in 2011, adding to the defense with ILB Mason Foster of Washington, to go with the Da’Quan Bowers pick from the last round (I’ll have more on thought in a bit). I was critical of the Saints for giving up a lot in the Mark Ingram deal, but they made two solid picks this year, with OLB Martez Wilson and DB Johnny Patrick.
[photo via Getty]

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12 Responses to “2011 NFL Draft: Patriots Take a Chance on Ryan Mallett in the Third Round”
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April 30th, 2011 at 9:27 AM
Spencer = Belichick
/Brainsplosion
The basically-free third they got 18 picks later when they traded Jammal Brown to the Redskins softens the blow.
And so far, the trade is Shane Vereen and a first for Mark Ingram. I still like our chances, especially considering the Pats have 8 RBs too, and with Ridley picked in the 3rd, he’s more suited to be the every-down back than Vereen. Vereen is better suited to be Kevin Faulk’s replacement.
April 30th, 2011 at 9:56 AM
I know the in thing these days is to diminish the value of a running back, but the Saints became a better team drafting Ingram, and if you get a player who makes your team a better team in the draft, all the consternation about giving up draft picks is nothing more than draft day fodder.
April 30th, 2011 at 10:05 AM
They said the same thing when they traded a 2nd for Shockey. And two first-day picks for Vilma too. You know what? They were right.
/and we couldn’t have won the Super Bowl without them
April 30th, 2011 at 10:15 AM
The Steelers did everything I could have asked for: Hit their 3 biggest needs with their first 3 picks (DE, OT and CB), including getting Pouncey’s best friend/roommate to play on the line with him and (arguably) the better cover corner of the Texas duo.
/still loving the Heyward pick
April 30th, 2011 at 10:18 AM
Also glad to see another piece of shit Raven in drug trouble. Jimmy from Colorado is going to fit right in.
April 30th, 2011 at 10:50 AM
Fantastic, just fantastic.
Love the Mallett pick. Brady better not get hurt, or he might get, uh, Brady’d.
April 30th, 2011 at 10:57 AM
Landing as a back-up to Brady is probably the single best thing that could have happened to a guy like Mallett. Good pick.
April 30th, 2011 at 10:57 AM
Ben Franklin, I’ll actually have something soon that challenges the view that running backs aren’t valuable and are fungible. Ive had it half done for a while. My criticism of Saints trade in first has nothing to do with position they drafted.
April 30th, 2011 at 11:43 AM
Roethlishotdog and Coop, I am loving this Steelers draft. Filling needs without reaching, letting the board come to them. I always liked brown in the 2nd -3rd more than A. Williams in the 1st. Gilbert finally gives the Tackle position youth/talent that has been missing the last few drafts. ANd the Heyward pick is just beautiful. If they get Tawain Jones or Rashad Carmichael, I may pass out.
April 30th, 2011 at 11:51 AM
My criticism of Saints trade in first has nothing to do with position they drafted.
Please give me some good news about the Johnny Patrick kid. Saints fans I know are all “WTF?”
They said the same thing when they traded a 2nd for Shockey. And two first-day picks for Vilma too. You know what? They were right.
/and we couldn’t have won the Super Bowl without them
(Pops in Super Bowl 44 DVD, watches Shockey’s game-winning touchdown catch.) Good times.
April 30th, 2011 at 1:51 PM
Two comments:
1. better than Leigh Torrance
2. he’s fearless on special teams
April 30th, 2011 at 3:24 PM
Jason Lisk Says: I’ll actually have something soon that challenges the view that running backs aren’t valuable and are fungible.
I can’t wait to see this. For the record now, before it even posts, I am A) /Team Emmitt, and B) /Team Lisk. FYI, Lisk, nobody calls him Ben Franklin on here. He’s Darrell