Nerlens Noel is Still a Top 5 Draft Pick: a 2013 NBA Mock Draft at the NBA All-Star Break
Here’s an idea of how the 2013 NBA draft order would look if all the ping-pong balls fell in a way to help the worst teams the most (that never happens, of course). A lot could change, obviously. For instance, if the Lakers miss the playoffs, Phoenix gets their pick, giving the Suns two lottery picks (similar to what Portland had in 2012). The Thunder, who could reach the Finals again, may end up with a lottery pick via Houston and Toronto. Strangely, the Raptors 2013 pick is Top 3 protected, and 15-30 protected. I’d say there’s a 78% chance the Thunder get that pick. As for the college players … check out how much things have changed since the 2013 NBA Mock draft I did right after the 2012 draft.
1. Charlotte – Ben McLemore, G, Kansas. Dreadful offensive team adds clutch, 6-foot-5 scorer who is in the Ray Allen/Mitch Richmond mold. Better dancer, though.
2. Orlando – Marcus Smart, G, Oklahoma State. Too high? Budding freshman star built like a tank (6-4, 225) attacks the rim with the best of them. Reminds me of James Harden, just needs to improve his 3-point shooting.
3. Washington – Anthony Bennett, F, UNLV. When your three leading scorers are all guards (who shoot 42 percent or lower), an inside presence is necessary. Enter Bennett, who is equal parts Larry Johnson and Kevin Willis.
4. Cleveland – Nerlens Noel, C, Kentucky. Don’t care about the ACL injury. He’ll be back in January or February of 2014 and immediately help the worst defense in the NBA (opponents shooting 47.6 percent).
5. Phoenix – Alex Len, C, Maryland. Suns have needs all over the place, and Gortat is on the books for two more years. Len turns 20 in June. Wait until he plays with a real PG. Love the athletic 7-footer.
6. Sacramento – Otto Porter, F, Georgetown. Kings have Cousins inside, then a bunch of guard who chuck. They play no defense. Porter, a great all-around player, should start immediately at SF.
7. New Orleans – Michael Carter-Williams, PG, Syracuse. Eric Gordon’s a combo guard; Austin Rivers looks like one, too. Yes, Grevis Vasquez is having a terrific year (3rd in the NBA in assists!) but he can’t shoot and at 26, have we seen his ceiling? Carter-Williams could be the second coming of Penny Hardaway.
8. Minnesota – Shabazz Muhammad, G, UCLA. Wolves lack consistent scoring on the wing. Muhammad, along with a healthy Love and Rubio, should make the playoffs in 2014.
9. Detroit – Victor Oladipo, SG, Indiana. Building around Drummond/Monroe/Knight appears to be the best option. Biggest needs: SG, SF. Expect a lot of new faces in 2013. Oladpio could be an offensively-minded Thabo in the NBA.
10. Oklahoma City (from Toronto) – Cody Zeller, PF, Indiana. Could have gone Top 5 last year, but slides – which may not be a bad thing. Thunder have no Bigs with low-post moves. I see him as a solid 13-7 contributor on a playoff team.
11. Philadelphia – Mason Plumlee, PF, Duke. What’s going on with Andrew Bynum? Will Young or Wright be brought back? How about a Bynum/Plumlee frontline, with Turner/Holiday/J-Rich on the perimeter?
12. Dallas – Trey Burke, PG, Michigan. Aging, rebuilding team could use just about anybody. No better way to start a post-Dirk foundation than with a talented point guard.
13. Phoenix (from LA Lakers) – CJ McCollum, G, LeHigh. Bummer that he’s been injured for much of the year. The Suns will lose this pick if the Lakers rally to make the playoffs.
14. Charlotte (from Portland) – Isaiah Austin, F/C, Baylor. Intriuging prospect in that he’s 7-feet tall, makes Shawn Bradley look portly, and likes to shoot from deep. Austin could replace Mullens when he departs in two years.
15. Milwaukee – Archie Goodwin, PG, Kentucky. They’re likely losing Dalembert (maybe at the trade deadline) and Dunleavy and Udrih. So a SF or backup PG (especially with Jennings seemingly wanting out) would be primary needs.
16. Boston – Alex Poythress, F, Kentucky. Going best on board since nobody has any idea about Pierce or Garnett. On talent, Poythress is a Top 10 pick. Drifts a lot, though, settles for jumpers. Perhaps he’ll carry the Cats’ with Noel out and get back in the lottery.
17. Atlanta (from Houston) – Kelly Olynyk, C, Gonzaga. Two first round picks and likely a ton of cap room. Danny Ferry makes a run at Dwight Howard, right? Olynyk has to be one of college basketball’s most improved players, ranking 1st in PER (36.5), and if they whiff on Howard, at least he can step in and play immediately.
18. Utah – James McAdoo, F, UNC. Big offseason looms for the Jazz. What will happen with Jefferson, Mo Williams, Millsap, and Foye? I’ll go best-on-board in McAdoo, who is a better player than we’ve seen this year. Hampered by poor guard play.
19. Atlanta – Glenn Robinson, F, Michigan. If they lose Smith – which seems like a lock – they’ll need a wing player, and Robinson is one who can actually shoot. I’m not as high on Robinson as others, who talk about him as if he’s a borderline Top 10 pick.
20. Chicago – Isaiah Canaan, G, Murray State. Still need a shooter, and even though a Canaan/Rose backcourt would be too small, why not try it? The only other guy I gave serious thought to here was …
21. Utah (from Golden State) – Michael Snaer, SG, Florida State. Reach? Probably. The Jazz can’t seem to find a shooter (Burks?), and I’m curious what Snaer can do with talent around him.
22. Brooklyn – Willie Cauley-Stein, C, Kentucky. If the Nets are trying to dump Humphries, how about having Lopez alongside Cauley-Stein? Willie’s a sleeper – but maybe not for long if he does well with Noel out.
23. Indiana – CJ Leslie, F, NC State. David West is likely to walk, leaving a gaping hole at PF. Could Leslie battle Hansbrough for that spot? What about Miles Plumlee, whom they drafted last year? Leslie has the most offense of that trio.
24. Denver – Jamaal Franklin, F, San Diego St. Feels like a Euro stash-pick spot, given the nature of the loaded Nuggets. But they’ll lose Corey Brewer to free agency, and Franklin is a very nice athlete.
25. Minnesota (from Memphis) – DeSean Thomas, SF, Ohio State. Love his game, but he’s looked less impressive this year sans Sullinger inside. Could be a sleeper this late in the first round.
26. New York – Jeff Withey, C, Kansas. Oldest team in the NBA could use a shot-blocker inside to spell Tyson Chandler.
27. LA Clippers – BJ Young, G, Arkansas. Coming off a big freshman year, was supposed to tear it up but has struggled and now has been coming off the bench. Guess he bought into his own hype. If the Clips lose Bledsoe (nobody thinks they can afford him), they’ll need a replacement, and Young’s got talent.
28. Cleveland (from Miami) – Le’Bryan Nash, F, Oklahoma State. I won’t be the only one to say this, but if the Cavs are healthy next year, and Noel returns at 100% in January, I’m not sure how they don’t make the playoffs. Irving-Waiters-Nash-Varejao-Noel is a young, exciting starting five. Just need pop off the bench.
29. Oklahoma City – Steven Adams, C, Pittsburgh. Not having a terrific year for Pitt, but he’s a raw 7-footer, so perhaps they draft him with the idea of playing him in 2-3 years. Then again, they did that with Cole Aldrich and he can’t get any burn.
30. San Antonio – Rudy Gobert, F, France. You’ll notice I haven’t included any Euros in this mock. That’s because I haven’t seen any of them yet. But the Spurs have success going that route, and in a cursory look at his tape, Gobert looks like a young stud, so here you go.

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- Smallie Bigs on Paul George Wore Aqua Pants and a Green, Amoeba-Pattered Dress Shirt to Game 1 in Miami
- Smallie Bigs on Paul George Wore Aqua Pants and a Green, Amoeba-Pattered Dress Shirt to Game 1 in Miami
- A.P. on Paul George Wore Aqua Pants and a Green, Amoeba-Pattered Dress Shirt to Game 1 in Miami
- Liquor on Paul George Wore Aqua Pants and a Green, Amoeba-Pattered Dress Shirt to Game 1 in Miami
- resolutedefense on Paul George Wore Aqua Pants and a Green, Amoeba-Pattered Dress Shirt to Game 1 in Miami
97 Responses to “Nerlens Noel is Still a Top 5 Draft Pick: a 2013 NBA Mock Draft at the NBA All-Star Break”
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February 15th, 2013 at 3:14 PM
He’ll be in the D-League if he doesn’t learn how to play offense.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:17 PM
I still think he comes back. I don’t think the NBA is the best place to ‘sit and learn’ the way the NFL is for QBs.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:17 PM
I love Otto Porter but he reminds me just a bit too much of Jeff Green to really get excited about his NBA prospects.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:18 PM
Ugh. I can’t see Bynum and Plumlee playing together at all. And while I know he’ll go somewhere in the lottery, I don’t think Plumlee is a starter on a good NBA team.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:18 PM
Will Charlotte ever not have a top-5 pick? Holy shit that franchise is terrible.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:19 PM
The knock on Vasquez is that he can’t shoot, so the solution is to draft Carter-Williams? I’m interested to know the components of Rivers’ “combo”.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:19 PM
Then why isn’ this cat going No. 1 overall?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:19 PM
Hasheem Thabeet is making a healthy living being a full time student
February 15th, 2013 at 3:20 PM
Guys I like: McLemore, Bennett, Shabazz, Oladipo
Guys I don’t: MCW, Plumlee, Zeller, Goodwin
February 15th, 2013 at 3:20 PM
Then why isn’ this cat going No. 1 overall?
He’s 6’5″ with the arms of a person a foot shorter.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:20 PM
james harden and marcus smart have basically nothing in common
February 15th, 2013 at 3:20 PM
Do any of the Pitt fans know if Adams is thought to be leaving this year? Seems that a foreign seven footer could probably do a lot better than bottom of the first with a bit more polishing, and the exposure of being in the ACC next year wont hurt either.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:21 PM
Austin Rivers looks like a shitty combo guard, no?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:22 PM
There are not nearly enough guys named Otto anymore.
I know Kaiser agrees.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:23 PM
Haha. He might be. He actually reminds me a bit of Z-Bo.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:23 PM
Is that UGA player (Caldwell Pope) a pro prospect?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:23 PM
Willis was famous for his “alligator arms” but I never saw what they measured.
I recently read an article that stated that over the last (not sure of the exact time span) dozen (?) years only one NBA player has had a wingspan shorter than his height: JJ Redick.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:23 PM
If the Clips lose Bledsoe (nobody thinks they can afford him)
They’ll be able to afford Bledsoe since Chris Paul is going to bolt to the other side of Staples Center
February 15th, 2013 at 3:24 PM
Ever watch a T-rex try to make a foul shot?
I’m probably not the one to ask/answer, but I would guess not. Other than Chris Taft, Pitt doesn’t get a lot of big men leaving early, and I can’t imagine he’d get enough of a guarantee to think about it.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:24 PM
Curious if TBL has Napier returning for his senior year?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:24 PM
If this were true, wouldn’t he be going #1?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:24 PM
6-7 with a 7-1 wingspan.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:25 PM
/ fixed with appropriate -strike- -/strike-
//get it, bowling joke?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:26 PM
6-7 with a 7-1 wingspan.
I don’t actually know anything about the kid I was just imagining a cross between Larry Johnson and Kevin Willis
February 15th, 2013 at 3:27 PM
Lakers need to offer Bledsoe a deal, and really put pressure on LAC. How exactly is Paul signing with the Lakers who have no salary cap room.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:28 PM
Why isn’t the best dunk stuff not labeled “sponsored post”. Do they really think we are that dumb?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:28 PM
How exactly is Paul signing with the Lakers who have no salary cap room.
Somehow this kind of thing works itself out when it comes to the Lakers.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:29 PM
Why isn’t the best dunk stuff not labeled “sponsored post”. Do they really think we are that dumb?
If I understood TBL correctly, Fink is the guy that was writing the BigLeadSports “comments off” posts. He’s graduated to getting a byline
February 15th, 2013 at 3:30 PM
CP3 to Dallas? Passed on re-signing Nash for injury reason IIRC, but a logical destination
February 15th, 2013 at 3:30 PM
didn’t know that…
February 15th, 2013 at 3:31 PM
Oh, well that’s really funny then.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:31 PM
Glad that you put him top 10. Love that dude’s game. Maybe, combining Thabo’s D with JR Smith’s offense, you get Oladipo.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:32 PM
Rough guess based on cap stuff?
Howard-Kobe-Bledsoe, trade Pau
vs
Kobe-Paul, let DH go and trade Pau.
Anyone know exact cap situation and other contract guarantees etc?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:32 PM
I’ve never seen a guard need more seasoning before bolting for the draft than this kid. Really like him, but he needs to develop more
February 15th, 2013 at 3:32 PM
he really should stay for another year, but if he’s a first rounder no way he does. BJ is a good player, but another year in college would do him wonders. same with Marshawn Powell. both guys are way to inconsistent, and that is against mostly shitty players in the SEC.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:34 PM
I just can’t imagine Dwight Howard staying on the Lakers. It seems like the only reason it would happen is so Jim Buss can prove to Kobe that he holds no sway on the front office.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:35 PM
Didn’t really seem to get any better as the season went along either.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:35 PM
Here’s the LAL player contracts
http://www.spotrac.com/nba/los-angeles-lakers/
February 15th, 2013 at 3:35 PM
The cap situation for the Lakers is that they won’t be signing for anybody. They would have to make trades and quickly.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:35 PM
Well, besides Austin Rivers
/obligatory
February 15th, 2013 at 3:35 PM
The best take I ever heard on ESPN came after the Noel injury. It went something like this, GMs around the league are telling me he won’t be the first pick but the further he falls in the draft the more likely a team will take a gamble on him. Earth shattering breakdown.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:37 PM
Only UK guy that looks NBA ready is Archie Goodwin. Rest could benefit from one more year with Calipari.
Greivis Vazquez will always be a better option than Austin Rivers because he is a really good passer and has court awareness. Rivers is clueless unless he’s playing one on one
February 15th, 2013 at 3:38 PM
Hill Blake Nash Peace all meaking significant money through next year. And Pau has a max-ish deal. I think they’d have to seriously re-structure just to get Bledsoe in there. Hopefully someone does the math and it makes me nearly as happy as the Jets salary cap columns do.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:38 PM
After the past 3 weeks, don’t be surprised if Michael Carter-Williams stays one more year. He’s looked horrendous.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:39 PM
“Remember WWoS, this will be a quiet offseason because we are signing Lebron after next year”
-Jim Buss
February 15th, 2013 at 3:39 PM
Nerlens Noel & Chris Paul to the Lakers. Somehow trade away Nash, MWP for Greg Monroe, let Howard go. Boom. Contention.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:40 PM
Him going to the NBA sounds like a good way to ruin a career by starting off in a terrible situation and never recovering.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:42 PM
Nerlens Noel’s comparison right now is Joel Anthony, who can’t sniff any playing time for a Miami team with no real center. Anthony is a solid defensive center but a non-existent offensive game. Noel can get dunks but no post moves/jump shot whatsoever
February 15th, 2013 at 3:42 PM
How’s he going to develop an offensive game when he is rehabbing and trying to get minutes? If he’s a sure-superstar, then he can overcome it, but I’ve yet to hear anything to make me think another year in college wouldn’t help him, especially in rehabbing. It’s not like UK is shuttling everyone down to the YMCA to use the hot tub, then over to the Econolodge using the ice machine to fill up bathtubs.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:42 PM
I honestly think the Lakers are reaching an Isiah-era Knicks level of terrible management. Anything I say to the contrary is just gibberish
February 15th, 2013 at 3:43 PM
Dumars is dumb but not this dumb
February 15th, 2013 at 3:43 PM
Noel can get dunks but no post moves/jump shot whatsoever
Dwight Howard gets a lot of money for that
February 15th, 2013 at 3:43 PM
some sons just shouldn’t take over for their parents in business
February 15th, 2013 at 3:44 PM
ehh, Dwight has Duncan’s offensive game compared to Noel.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:47 PM
And wrong thread, but Phelp’s girl is smoking. All I’m tryna do is get something like that
February 15th, 2013 at 3:49 PM
I haven’t watched a lot of Noel. I liked him a lot on the defensive end from what I saw. Enough to think he’s worth a lottery pick, especially for Cleveland like TBL has him. He seems a little bit like DeAndre Jordan to me
February 15th, 2013 at 3:50 PM
worked out well last time Pistons drafted a first round guard from IU.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:50 PM
Phelps’
GRAMMAR DAMNIT!
February 15th, 2013 at 3:50 PM
He’d be perfect in Detroit.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:50 PM
is detroit drafting a new GM and Coach too?
February 15th, 2013 at 3:51 PM
Phelps’s*
February 15th, 2013 at 3:51 PM
That is who Plumlee reminds me of
February 15th, 2013 at 3:52 PM
Wow Charlie Villanueva gets a raise next year? I’m in the wrong game.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:52 PM
I’ll take Jeff Withey over Noel at the moment. Doesn’t mean Noel won’t improve but Withey is much more NBA ready right now. Unlike Cole Aldrich, Withey will get playing time because he plays great defense and can shoot the mid range jumper
February 15th, 2013 at 3:52 PM
That is who Plumlee reminds me of
Yeah, I can see that. I like DeAndre. He’s not a superstar but he’s a pretty good asset.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:53 PM
“I’ll take college players that have really regressed in the last month for $600, Alex.”
February 15th, 2013 at 3:53 PM
Dumars stole Monroe and Drummond in the last three drafts, so doubtful on that front
February 15th, 2013 at 3:54 PM
no
CJ Fair, 2014 lottery pick.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:54 PM
trojans, his drafting isn’t the problem. It’s his free agent acquisitions and coaching hires.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:55 PM
sympathy raise for cancer patient?
/KG’d
February 15th, 2013 at 3:55 PM
Um, no.
Withey is the classic good shot-blocker/poor defender. He’ll be with Hasheem Thabeet in the d-league or at the end of the bench.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:56 PM
He’s just covering anyhow.
/how’d I end up here’d
February 15th, 2013 at 3:57 PM
Mark titus on MSU-UM:
February 15th, 2013 at 3:58 PM
He’s been awful in free agency, for sure. Good work on that Calderon trade though. Hired more good coaches than bad, I have no issue with Frank.
February 15th, 2013 at 3:59 PM
I’ve watched quite a few KU games this year and found Withey to be pretty good. Thabeet is a hundred times worse yet he gets a few minutes most nights for the Thunder. Shows the poor standard for big men right now
February 15th, 2013 at 3:59 PM
Actually, yes. You’re only supposed to use the single s structure if the name sounds cumbersome with the extra sound. You would say it as “Phelpses.”
February 15th, 2013 at 4:00 PM
POST A’COMIN
February 15th, 2013 at 4:01 PM
I was listening to some interview..either Bob Ryan, Wilbon, or someone else regarding NBA coaching. talked about how the coaches like Lawrence Frank and Avery Johnson are bad for the NBA because they focus so much on defense and slow down offense so their young athletic offensive talent don’t have many opportunities to play up tempo. It was an interesting point and it makes sense to me after watching so many Nets games under Frank and Avery
February 15th, 2013 at 4:02 PM
Goodbye Braun. Goodbye Milwaukee. Bernie Brewer going to jump off top of miller park
February 15th, 2013 at 4:02 PM
THEY ALL LIED TO US
February 15th, 2013 at 4:03 PM
oh shit! an internet grammar fight!!
February 15th, 2013 at 4:03 PM
Goodbye Braun. Goodbye Milwaukee. Bernie Brewer going to jump off top of miller park
Are they going somewhere? Braun allegedly owing money to a clinic doesn’t equate to a positive test.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:03 PM
Why won’t Ryan Braun just admit that he’s on steroids even if there’s no upside in doing so and tons of downside for it? What is he afraid of?
February 15th, 2013 at 4:04 PM
Always hated the apostrophe rules
February 15th, 2013 at 4:04 PM
i fucking hate being awake since 5 this morning. makes for a shitty friday
February 15th, 2013 at 4:05 PM
Wow, this is exactly who i want on the Pistons. dammit!
February 15th, 2013 at 4:05 PM
sarcasm and hyperbole.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:05 PM
Braun allegedly owing money to a clinic doesn’t equate to a positive test.
Pssh. Sure, you clown, people just give money to shady figures to act as “expert witnesses” all the time in depositions and court cases. Shoot me an email so I can PayPal you enough dollars to pay for all the clues you need.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:06 PM
I’ll take any of these players as long as it’s not Kate Upton.
/Tim Ryan’d
February 15th, 2013 at 4:06 PM
shocking…Erik Spoelstra picks his guy, Chris Bosh, to start in place of Rondo in all star game.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:07 PM
Pssh. Sure, you clown, people just give money to shady figures to act as “expert witnesses” all the time in depositions and court cases. Shoot me an email so I can PayPal you enough dollars to pay for all the clues you need.
Your Jason impression is getting better.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:08 PM
To be fair, while Monk’s reasoning on that was laughably stupid, this seems to be different in that it’s apparently on a part of the ledger that does indicate they got PEDs, while the other payment was clearly not for PEDs. According to the source anyhow.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:17 PM
And I wasn’t here? C’mon, people!
After TBL got on his high horse making fun of grammar though, I try to focus my efforts at the abominable grammar found in the posts here.
/get an editor’d
February 15th, 2013 at 4:27 PM
/prepares resume
February 15th, 2013 at 4:46 PM
When does the one they hired start, anyway? Thought that was going to be this summer. Certain mistakes should NEVER get past a CE. Ever.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:49 PM
Sacramento has a team? And where is the Seattle pick? I’m confused.
February 15th, 2013 at 4:54 PM
Wow Charlie Villanueva gets a raise next year? I’m in the wrong game.
Lakers need to lock down the 8th seed – so their pick goes to the Cavs.