The Florida Gators Are the Best Defensive Team College Basketball Has Had Since 2003
The Florida Gators rank #4 in the both polls, but they are ranked #1 on SevenOvertimes.com, KenPom.com, and on ESPN’s own BPI rankings. A combination of great offense and great defense has led them to the 2nd best Margin of Victory in the country (27.2 points per game to Indiana’s 27.8). But just how good their defense is may surprise you.
We are still early in conference play, so we should expect their competition to increase as the season progresses (even in a relatively weak SEC), but at this point, UF’s defense has been better than ANY team’s since 2003 (which is as far back as I looked).
Top 5 defenses in AdjD (Points Per 100 Defensive Possessions)
Source: KenPom.com
Not only is Florida significantly better than the next team – the teams that are similar (based on the Four Factors) to them may be surprising. This year’s Stephen F. Austin (who is quietly sitting at 17-2, with a quality win over Oklahoma) is the most similar team (Note: the numbers after the team names are their NCAA seeds).
Defensive Similarity – Florida
Of the top five teams that have shown a defense similar to Florida’s – only one has also had a Top 100 offense – and that is this year’s Ohio State team who is ranked #15 in AdjO.
While defense has been the key to Florida’s success this year, Michigan’s #1 ranked offense has been the key driver behind its first #1 ranking since the Fab Five. As John Gasaway noted in this tweet – the similarities between 2013 Michigan and 2005 Illinois are striking. However, the other very similar teams are somewhat surprising:
Offensive Similarity - Michigan
Of those teams, Illinois lost to a very deep UNC team in the Championship game, Texas lost in the Elite 8 to Memphis, Utah St. lost to Texas A&M in the opening round, and Wisconsin was upset by Butler in the Sweet 16. Notre Dame is currently 17-4, and predicted to make the tournament in the 7-10 seed range. I think anything less than a Final Four appearance for this Michigan team would be considered a disappointment.

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7 Responses to “The Florida Gators Are the Best Defensive Team College Basketball Has Had Since 2003”
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February 2nd, 2013 at 11:34 AM
SevenOvertimes.com
Hyperlink.
February 2nd, 2013 at 11:48 AM
Stupid battleship. That Georgetown-UF game should have been a classic.
February 2nd, 2013 at 11:53 AM
Florida’s defense was 71st in AdjD last year. I haven’t watched much of them this year. What accounts for the difference? Was Erving Walker’s size THAT big a factor? Thoughts?
February 2nd, 2013 at 12:13 PM
Well, they should prepare for disappointment, because they aren’t making the Final 4.
February 2nd, 2013 at 12:52 PM
shutdown stretches bitches!
February 2nd, 2013 at 1:22 PM
by the way this is wrong because kenpom’s adjustment is a little off (eg. florida dominated wisconsin, who is good but always overrated by kenpom and middle tennessee state, a team with good efficiency numbers but without the athletes to play any top 10 team).
nice work crunching the numbers and stuff though.
February 2nd, 2013 at 1:41 PM
If being #1 in AdjD isn’t enough, then how about the fact that they have the second most shutdown stretches overall now (32). N Dakota St is #1 at 34.