Colin Kaepernick and the Draft Pundits: Mel Kiper Had Him 7th Among QB’s, While Others Were Higher on Him
Colin Kaepernick was the sixth quarterback taken in the 2011 draft, one spot behind Andy Dalton at the 36th overall pick. Blaine Gabbert, Jake Locker, and Christian Ponder were also taken in the same draft by pick #12, after Cam Newton went first overall. Kaepernick was one of the wildcards entering the draft. Clear athleticism, strong arm, but concerns by some over his mechanics and readiness for the NFL. Remember, two years ago, the pistol was a college gimmick offense in the minds of many.
Mel Kiper–who had Kaepernick as his seventh quarterback behind Newton, Gabbert, Locker, Dalton, Mallett and Ponder–had him going to the San Francisco 49ers, but in the third round (78th overall). McShay projected Kaepernick to Washington with the 41st overall pick–and how different would things have been if he had gone to the Redskins in the draft?
Here was Kiper on Kaepernick quoted from an article in the Appleton (WI) Post-Crescent on April 28, 2011: “Kaepernick has the size, speed and the strong arm, but not the sound fundamental mechanics you want coming into the league,” said Kiper in a pre-draft conference call. “I think he’s a prospect, but long term. You’ve got to be patient with him. I think in year two or year three, he’ll be better off. I think he’s solidly in the second- or third-round mix.”
“It’s the same with (Tim) Tebow,” Kiper said, referring to the Broncos’ 2010 first-round pick who started the last three games last season and completed 50 percent of his passes. “With the pads on, they go back to the same old ways. That’s fine (that Kaepernick has improved his mechanics). It’s an optimistic viewpoint. But until you get into an NFL scenario, that’s when you’ll see if he can maintain those changes. Does muscle memory take over?” ["NFL Draft: With Kaepernick, it's an issue of mechanics -- or is it?" Reno Gazette-Journal (Nevada), April 7, 2011].
More from “Miami Dolphins could face quarterback quandary in draft; In My Opinion” appearing in the Miami Herald on April 20, 2011:
Who is best in that tier after Newton/Gabbert/Mallett/Locker? Mel Kiper Jr. says Dalton; Mike Mayock says Dalton and Ponder are even. But ESPN’s Todd McShay and analysts Russ Lande (Sporting News) and Tony Pauline (Sports Illustrated) say Kaepernick has the most upside.
“Even though Ponder is too fragile, he’s more NFL ready than Kaepernick, and maybe the Dolphins feel they would get earlier returns from him,” Pauline said. “But Kaepernick might be a better player in two or three years.”
Vikings Now also published a poll of ten draft pundits, including Kiper, of whom the Vikings should take if the top two quarterbacks were gone. (Christian Ponder was the favorite, being selected by half of the respondents. Former Texans GM Charlie Casserly and drafter of David Carr notably selected no one, “because of what he considered a weak QB class.”
Evan Silva of Rotoworld (from April 25th article entitled NFL draft analysts: After top two, Christian Ponder might be next-best QB option for Vikings) was the only one that said the Vikings should take Kaepernick. “As much as Leslie Frazier would love a Matt Ryan-type of plug-and-play rookie, those don’t exist in this year’s draft,” Silva said. “Colin Kaepernick probably needs a season on the bench after four years in Chris Ault’s non-pro-style pistol spread, but his combination of arm strength and athleticism is second only to Cam Newton’s in the 2011 class.”
Omar Kelly, beat writer for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel, also was a fan of Colin Kaepernick, saying he won him over at the Senior Bowl just like another strong-armed quarterback named Joe Flacco, by whizzing passes by him. Kelly had Kaepernick to the Dolphins in the first round.
Here’s video of draft day coverage when Kaepernick was selected. You will be excited to know that Chris Berman uttered, “[t]hat’s my guy, Mel, that’s my guy” when the pick came in.
How about the comment by Jon Gruden: “[t]he more you watch Nevada-Reno, the more you want to put their offense in, I mean, they shred people. That’s a heck of an offense.” He wasn’t the only one thinking it, and someone actually did it.
Finally, here were Trent Dilfer’s comments:
“This individual, Colin Kaepernick, can throw the ball moving to his left as good as any human being I’ve ever watched, and that’s not an understatement . . . I think the San Francisco 49ers found a diamond in the rough. I know Jim Harbaugh wanted him bad, he sees the ceiling.”
Colin Kaepernick has taken the league by storm this year, supplanting Alex Smith with his dynamic play. When Harbaugh made his comments that they tended to go with the hot hand, I thought he was going to start Kaepernick–not based just on that, but how much differently they were able to game plan with Kaepernick at quarterback. Would he have had as much success elsewhere? We don’t know, though I think those who were banking on his athletic ability and upside, and not the system he plays in, got this one right. Harbaugh also got it right when he went to Kaepernick, regardless of what happens in the Super Bowl.
[photo via USA Today Sports Images]

- Riddick Bowe Promoted His Unsuccessful Muay Thai Debut By Allowing Monkeys to Climb All Over Him in Thailand
- New Zealand High School Rugby Player With the Most Vicious Hit of the Decade [Painful Video and Gif]
- Mario Balotelli Scores Goal, Kicks Own Shoes, Shouts Out Drake; All in a Day’s Work
- The 2013 MLB All-Star Game Batting Practice Jerseys Can be Yours for the Low, Low Price of $99.99
- Manu Ginobili’s Bald Spot Disappears After One Magical Swipe From Tim Duncan [GIF]

- Shining Base Path on MLB At-Bat Music: Ballplayers Love Drake, Pitbull, Metallica and 90s Hip Hop Jams
- scripty on New Zealand High School Rugby Player With the Most Vicious Hit of the Decade [Painful Video and Gif]
- scripty on Riddick Bowe Promoted His Unsuccessful Muay Thai Debut By Allowing Monkeys to Climb All Over Him in Thailand
- TonyToniTone Has Done It Again on MLB At-Bat Music: Ballplayers Love Drake, Pitbull, Metallica and 90s Hip Hop Jams
- TheRealAC on New Zealand High School Rugby Player With the Most Vicious Hit of the Decade [Painful Video and Gif]
73 Responses to “Colin Kaepernick and the Draft Pundits: Mel Kiper Had Him 7th Among QB’s, While Others Were Higher on Him”
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.







January 22nd, 2013 at 2:03 PM
Blaine Gabbert sucks. Nice choice Jaguars.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:06 PM
There’s no way to prove this obviously, but the Vikings lack a Harbaugh-type on their staff to really develop someone, and that’s why they went towards a guy like Ponder who was (supposedly) already fundamentally sound. I think Kaepernick fell into a perfect situation on the Niners with Harbaugh there to help him along.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:07 PM
Kaepernick on MIN, lining up with AD and Harvin in the backfield, would be something.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:09 PM
Absolutely
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:10 PM
Take it away, Babar.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:11 PM
I love the irony of Harbaugh running a pro-style offense in college and now a read-option in the NFL.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:12 PM
Also the pistol is still a gimmick offense in the minds of many.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:13 PM
I knew this guy was going to be awesome from the start……
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:14 PM
From jck49erfan in the 2011 draft review…
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:15 PM
Babar I was referring to your JMac post
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:15 PM
Never understood that line of thinking. They take the snap in an nontraditional way that behooves the run game, but changes little else. Must be a gimmick.
/Chris Ault has stroke
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:16 PM
Great timing.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:17 PM
I realized that right after I posted:
(JMac 1/22/13)
(JMac after the draft in 2011)
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:17 PM
Sounds like the pundits pretty much had it right.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:18 PM
Kaepernick must not have had the same agent as Kiper for Kiper to rate him so low…
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:19 PM
By which I mean that with time on the bench and the right offense, he had a lot of potential. That’s exactly what happened.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:20 PM
How good do people think Kaep is? There’s been a lot of talk about him v Smith, him v media, etc., but where does he rank among qbs? FWIW, I think he has the easiest job of any NFL qb, by a wide margin
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:20 PM
Mobile site works. Fyi
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:22 PM
/blacks out
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:25 PM
Mobile site works, but you can’t comment. Maybe I’m just mobile site illiterate.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:26 PM
Every time I see these comments (for what, three years now?), I’m always totally trolled. I think it’s because I want it so bad. Like when my favorite ballplayers denied using steroids- I was so willing to take their word for it.
Anyway…really?
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:26 PM
To be fair, Gruden and Dilfer never say anything negative about anyone. Gruden being the most disgustingly positive man on the face of the earth.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:26 PM
I fainted when I went to TBL and this new site came up.
/ good job, good effort
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:27 PM
Mullet, you have to open comments in a new window.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:29 PM
Not very well. It’s slower than the desktop version and crashes.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:29 PM
How good do people think Kaep is?
Huge fan. I think his arm and speed are elite. Some teams are going to go pistol offsense with a less-skilled QB and wonder why shit aint working as well for them.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:30 PM
Wait, there is a mobile site now? For iPhone?
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:31 PM
Another school shooting.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:32 PM
/pukes
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:33 PM
Yup, Kaep’s physical skillset is awesome. I maintain the coach and oline are more responsible for their success than most seem to be crediting them for. Interesting to see if those in the league agree, or blindly adopt the offensive concepts.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:33 PM
The mobile site is designed for the in dash browser on the new Porsche 911. Works fine for me, I haven’t heard any problems.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:35 PM
This matters, from what you read about the development of Aaron Rodgers if he had been thrown to the wolves his first or second year amid all the coaching turmoil they had in SF he could be out of football today
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:35 PM
Kaep may have the best arm strength and size/mobility in the league. Daunting. Still not totally sold as a pro style passer, but that won’t matter until the legs and offensive line diminish.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:36 PM
FWIW, I think he has the easiest job of any NFL qb, by a wide margin
Can you elaborate on this one?
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:36 PM
No post? Been clamoring for years and he whips it out on us like this?
/no coop
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:36 PM
Fantastic
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:37 PM
Guy is a stud. I haven’t heard much in the way of him vs. Smith or anything (outside of that one tattoo idiot) about him vs. the media. I think he’s a pretty humble guy based on his background. Not possible or fair to rank him among QB’s after 10 starts. Talk to me next year at this time.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:38 PM
Great offensive scheme/playcalling coach, best oline in the business, tremendous special teams, a top defense. Doesn’t need to do much to win.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:39 PM
The mobile site is designed for the in dash browser on the new Porsche 911. Works fine for me, I haven’t heard any problems.
My chauffeur says it’s coming in fine on the limo dash.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:40 PM
I just mean he lacked the hype of bums drafted above him
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:40 PM
What’s weird is the team he played worst against is St. Louis. I don’t know what that means, though. Seems like he’s inverted the Luck formula of take advantage of a shitty schedule to pad your figures.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:41 PM
O-Line is locked up as a unit for at least 2 more years, and he’s only 25, so the legs should be quality for at least 4. People don’t give him enough credit as a passer yet. He had a few big runs during the season, but the first time anyone had seen anything like that Green Bay game was during that game. He’s going to have some growing pains for sure, but as you’ve mentioned, everything around him is so good, those are a lot easier to get through.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:41 PM
I’m not sure this makes any bit of sense.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:41 PM
Mobile site works. Fyi
It’s a little weird and unresponsive so far, but looks pretty decent.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:42 PM
No post? Been clamoring for years and he whips it out on us like this?
Probably some beta testing. On the other hand, Jason has been so dismissive of the mobile site for years that he is just messing with everyone.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:43 PM
Let me introduce you to my friend Ted Ginn.
Fucking Rams.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:45 PM
And here’s David Akers.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:45 PM
Rams D-line is really good.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:46 PM
Means the Rams are awesome.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:47 PM
They should be. His arm is incredible.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:47 PM
How is the 49ers cap space. I was thinking if they got Josh Cribbs, could put him in the backfield along with Kaep for 2-5 plays a game as a dual run threat along with return duties.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:49 PM
Sure but I mean the next week they get lit up by the Jets (as much as the Jets can light someone up).
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:49 PM
They already got LeMichael James, right? Dunno if he can return punts though
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:50 PM
Rams also see SF twice a year. That makes a difference.
What’s the URL for the mobile Site? Nothing on my tablet.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:50 PM
The Rams aren’t that bad of a team. Their defensive line is very good, and they have good pieces in the secondary. Plus, conventional logic doesn’t always apply in divisional matchups.
It reminds me a bit of the Seattle situation – the Seahawks showed a lot of improvement last year, and just needed some additional pieces to take the next step. Wouldn’t be surprised, at all, to see the Rams at 8-8/9-7 next season. Thier biggest hindrance is Sam Bradford.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:50 PM
The Rams aren’t that bad of a team. Their defensive line is very good, and they have good pieces in the secondary. Plus, conventional logic doesn’t always apply in divisional matchups.
It reminds me a bit of the Seattle situation – the Seahawks showed a lot of improvement last year, and just needed some additional pieces to take the next step. Wouldn’t be surprised, at all, to see the Rams at 8-8/9-7 next season. Thier biggest hindrance is Sam Bradford.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:50 PM
Not worth it. That’s what LaMichael James will do next year after they let Ginn walk. Cap space should be fine the next few years. Goldson will be a casualty, but oh well.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:51 PM
Arm is great, no doubt. But they have the ability to create large passing windows and there is no need for traditional reading of progressions. It’s a very simplified and effective offense. I will say he’s looked good on third down however, the one situation in which Kaep isn’t greatly benefited by run action.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:52 PM
But I understand this is the “blame the qb for all successes and failures” era
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:53 PM
Never got the Gabbert love, except that he was so tall and so strong and that he was what a QB is supposed to look like. Games I saw him in, he made some bad decisions.
Mallett was/is? a cokehead, never got the love for him either.
Locker regressed his last season at UDub, didn’t get the love there, either.
BTW speaking of unlucky, Cam Newton’s new OC is Mike Shula. Not sure on that one.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:55 PM
He can throw the hell out of the ball. That alone will give him a chance, but he wasn’t taken until the third rd, so the league is with you.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:55 PM
Bammer’s revenge on Newton.
January 22nd, 2013 at 2:59 PM
It’s unbelievable how quickly someone can identify themselves as a complete moron, have every single person around them know it…and yet not know for themselves.
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:01 PM
Their oline isn’t great, but the crappiness of their skill players is largely overstated. A lot of Sam Bradford’s problems are of his own creation – checkdown artist, holds onto the ball forever, etc. He’s thoroughly mediocre, and once that talent catches up around him he’ll be exposed.
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:01 PM
/waves
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:03 PM
What are all these lies about the mobile site working? Still the old full site on my Android.
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:05 PM
Been clamoring for years and he whips it out on us like this?
The new mobile site is m.oden.com
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:07 PM
Close: m.billywagner.com
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:08 PM
and mobile site no longer coming up on my iphone
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:22 PM
Lol there are too many people to whom this applies to be sure who you’re talking about.
January 22nd, 2013 at 3:37 PM
I am usually all for cynicism but I don’t see the value in shredding these draft pundits. It’s not like anyone really knows how these guys will turn out. That said, I loathe McShay and he scouts that thought either Gabbert, Locker, or Ponder were first round worthy ought to be doing something else with their time.
January 22nd, 2013 at 4:17 PM
Sure he’s in a luxurious location for a QB right now, but he still beat out a veteran that had taken the same team to the NFC championship game a year prior. I know it’s alex smith, but it’s still impressive what he’s done this season as a 2nd year player going from the bench to the superbowl.
January 22nd, 2013 at 4:45 PM
jay v doesn;t like sctrojans so that’s my guess