San Francisco 49ers Have Played Better Than Any Team At Their Best
The San Francisco 49ers have been near unstoppable when they bring their “A” game. We’ve seen this in numerous showcase games this year, and most recently saw the best and worst in a short span when they jumped all over New England on the road to take a 31-3 lead, but nearly lost it. We have also seen them tie and lose to the Rams in two overtime games, and get blasted by the Giants at home.
Even with the near collapse against New England, that ranks as the best performance any team has had against the Patriots this year, as New England had previously lost two games by a point, and another by two points when they missed a field goal at the end. San Francisco is no stranger to putting up the best performance against an opponent. That was the fifth time this year they had put up the best performance of any team vs. one of their opponents (Buffalo, Chicago, New York Jets, Seattle also). Ten of their fourteen games rank among the Top 3 against a particular opponent.
Here’s what I did. I looked at each team and ranked each opponent by result/point margin against that team. We have 14 games, so teams were ranked 1 to 14 based on how they did against the same opponent. Losing a close game against a really good team would rate as a good performance. Winning close against a bad team like Oakland or Kansas City would not. Since we are grading on a curve, teams are compared to how they did relative to their peers.
The averages are very much in line with most objective rating systems. San Francisco, Denver and New England are at the very top. Kansas City, Oakland, and Jacksonville are at the bottom. One of the interesting things, though, is how teams vary in their performance.
The most consistent teams were Dallas, Denver, Detroit, Green Bay, and New England. You probably wouldn’t have guessed Dallas or Detroit, but the Cowboys have generally played close games when they play similar opponents to themselves. Their only bad losses (Chicago and Seattle) came against teams that have delivered far worse results to other opponents. Detroit has come up just short in many games, but generally played to the level of the opponent.
At the other end of the spectrum, the least consistent teams aren’t hard to guess. The New York Giants are #1, followed by Arizona, Carolina, Tampa Bay, and the Jets.
To compile the “At Their Best” rankings, I took the average and added one standard deviation. For the “At Their Worst” Rankings, I subtracted one standard deviation. The result is that the more inconsistent teams will move between the two lists. For example, we know the Giants at their best can win a Super Bowl, and they rank 2nd here. But they fall to 18th on the “At Their Worst” list.
At Their Worst Rankings:

- Robinson Cano Surprised a Sick Fan at the MLB Fancave and They Played Wiffle Ball & Ate Ice Cream [Video]
- Bob Uecker Took a Picture with WWE’s Bella Twins at a Cardinals Game
- Mario Balotelli Owns a Pet Pig, Because of Course He Does
- Keenan Allen, 3rd Round Draft Pick of San Diego, Wore a Raiders Hat in Public. Chargers Fans Are Pissed
- Does Shawn Marion Drive a Funny-Looking Smart Car That Might Be a Souped Up Golf Cart?

- Wide Word of Sport (?) on Keenan Allen, 3rd Round Draft Pick of San Diego, Wore a Raiders Hat in Public. Chargers Fans Are Pissed
- Wide Word of Sport (?) on Keenan Allen, 3rd Round Draft Pick of San Diego, Wore a Raiders Hat in Public. Chargers Fans Are Pissed
- Wide Word of Sport (?) on Keenan Allen, 3rd Round Draft Pick of San Diego, Wore a Raiders Hat in Public. Chargers Fans Are Pissed
- Chelsea Chris on Keenan Allen, 3rd Round Draft Pick of San Diego, Wore a Raiders Hat in Public. Chargers Fans Are Pissed
- Jay V Of Considerable Influence on Roundup: Miguel Kicked Two Women in the Head at the Billboard Music Awards, Greg Schiano Loves Mike Glennon & Don't Talk Trash to Former Boxers in the Street
18 Responses to “San Francisco 49ers Have Played Better Than Any Team At Their Best”
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December 18th, 2012 at 5:50 PM
December 18th, 2012 at 5:53 PM
delivered far worser results
is that like bad/good or bad/bad?
December 18th, 2012 at 5:55 PM
Well this just confirms what I already knew.
Oakland > KC.
/We’re #31! We’re #31!
December 18th, 2012 at 6:00 PM
I am sticking with the Niners winning out in the NFC.
/ Homerism
December 18th, 2012 at 6:03 PM
the Niners are a fucking meat-grinder
but it helps when you have years of high draft picks to fall back on
/ahem Cleveland
//ahem Oakland
///ahem ahem Detroit
December 18th, 2012 at 6:13 PM
Remember Mike Singletary? He threw Vernon off the field.
Vernon wept for Jim Harbaugh.
December 18th, 2012 at 6:13 PM
Remember Mike Singletary? He threw Vernon off the field.
And he mooned Vernon too. Talk about adding insult to injury.
December 18th, 2012 at 6:14 PM
look at the tats on that quarterback! looks like he’s down with the cause!
/fistbumps Rob Parker
December 18th, 2012 at 6:22 PM
Not a cornball brother, is what you’re saying?
December 18th, 2012 at 6:35 PM
Remember Mike Singletary?
of course i do. he won baylor’s first heisman.
December 18th, 2012 at 6:35 PM
The Denver bit makes a lot of sense. They played three terrible quarters combined against both Atlanta and Houston, and their defense played three awful quarters against New England. Outside of that, they’ve been the best team in the league, but in those six collective quarters they were quite bad, not to mention being struck down by the fumble luck gods.
December 18th, 2012 at 6:51 PM
Wow. This makes Atlanta not seem “too” terrible.
December 18th, 2012 at 7:03 PM
I’ll never understand how the Vikings decisively beat the Niners. Perfect storm, I guess.
December 19th, 2012 at 1:56 AM
Skins a top 10 team in December? I can get used to this. ESPN Power Rankings
December 19th, 2012 at 9:07 AM
The last 6 NFC Champions have all beaten Buffalo in the regular season. So chances are good the Niners win the NFC. I just hope my Broncos get there and avenge Super Bowl XXIV.
December 19th, 2012 at 9:08 AM
Amen.
December 19th, 2012 at 9:34 AM
“Detroit has come up just short in many games, but generally played to the level of the opponent.”
Doesn’t exactly scream ‘consistency’ to me…
December 19th, 2012 at 9:36 AM
@jbird – all of the Bills’ NFC losses have been to the NFC West, so watch out if the Rams somehow sneak in!