The Big Ten is Down, But Not Dead
The Big Ten has been having on off year, to put it kindly. The conference has lost all seven games against SRS programs this season. Its strongest remaining BCS title contender is Northwestern. The succession of dreadful performances has begged for criticism. The ubiquitous bleakness lends itself to all sorts of sweeping narrative. Rather than a bellwether, though this may just be an unfortunate season. The problems seem to be school specific.
Elite programs shape perception. The SEC is not the nation’s strongest conference every year – the Big 12 with six 10-win teams was the nation’s best in 2011 – but the conference is perceived as such because of the six-straight national titles. Alabama and LSU are functioning at historic peaks and nearly indomitable. Florida, until recently, was doing the same. South Carolina is also peaking under the HBC. Georgia could be moving that direction as well.
While the SEC has reached an apex, the Big Ten has hit rock-bottom. Ohio State is recovering from Jim Tressel’s messy departure and NCAA sanctions. Michigan is still reassembling pieces taken apart by Rich Rodriguez. Penn State just had the worst scandal in the history of college athletics and, arguably, the worst sanctions. Nebraska has floundered in a Post-Osborne malaise. The Cornhuskers have been outside the BCS so long its a stretch considering them a national power.
The conference’s second-tier historic powers have their own troubles this season. Wisconsin, racked by assistant and starter turnover, is nowhere near the program from a year ago. The Badgers are nowhere near the program most expected entering the season. Iowa, with unconscionable running back attrition among other troubles, is a mess. Michigan State, the class of the conference still, has only the rudiments of an offense.
Certainly, there are conference-wide issues. The Big Ten must invest more money in coaching staffs. Despite a parity revenue, nine of the 14 top highest-paid coaching staffs in 2011 were from the SEC. Iowa and Michigan were the only Big Ten representatives in that group. Ohio State will move in in 2012. Many Big Ten programs are getting outspent by Big East teams. The SEC invests heavily in head and in assistant coaching and that money gets reflected in player input and player output.
The Big Ten must also expand its recruiting base. There is elite talent in the Midwest, but only enough to comfortably stock Michigan, Ohio State and Notre Dame. The conference has not had a fully-fledged, non Michigan/Ohio State member finish higher than 25th in Rivals’ recruiting rankings since Penn State in 2010. It is not on pace to have one in 2013. Delany and CO. have doubled down on Florida, Texas and California bowl games, but Big Ten teams may need to follow Michigan and Ohio State’s lead into former Penn State turf in Pennsylvania, Maryland and New Jersey.
There are reasons to be concerned, but with a confluence of unrelated program issues this may just be a down year. If Wisconsin reloads, Dantonio keeps his MSU program together and Michigan and Ohio State follow their present trajectory, there should be reason for optimism in 2013 and beyond. Having said that, brace for the rest of 2012, Big Ten fans. The jokes will be mean. The ride will be rough and unpleasant. The SEC Bowl beat downs will be extra brutal. The Champions will travel to Pasadena, to be boat-raced by Oregon or USC.
It will be ugly for the Big Ten in 2012, but there may be a bright side. The conference is far more open and interesting than perceived. A Purdue or a Northwestern clawing their way to Indianapolis is not outside the bounds of possibility.
[Photo via Presswire]

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31 Responses to “The Big Ten is Down, But Not Dead”
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September 19th, 2012 at 3:19 PM
This conference has been terrible for years.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:28 PM
The dirty little secret of college football is that the deeper you analyze it the more you realize most of it isn’t good
And at this point I have to assume Duffy’s got a saved Getty search for “Bielema Derp Face”…not that I’m complaining, each new find is a joy
September 19th, 2012 at 3:32 PM
The Big Ten Championship game could have the 8th best team in it. The league sucks this year.
Also, we won’t know if Michigan has returned to the Big 2 for a couple years. They need to show that last year wasn’t a fluke (2012) and that they can win without Denard (2013).
September 19th, 2012 at 3:32 PM
Alos, who is crowning Georgia? didn’t they lose to a Big Ten team last year?
September 19th, 2012 at 3:39 PM
Oh so the Big 12 is good because it had six good teams and six bad teams? Because it is lack of parity in conference which would lead to that sort of result.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:39 PM
And at this point I have to assume Duffy’s got a saved Getty search for “Bielema Derp Face”…not that I’m complaining, each new find is a joy
I was really hoping for a winning caption on that picture. Majestic derp.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:39 PM
Not going to lie, 2013 may not be pretty. Michigan will probably be starting a true freshman QB, and the OL will be learning how to block in a true pro-style offense vs. the run and chuck they’re currently in.
2014 on the other hand….
September 19th, 2012 at 3:40 PM
Ohio State may get back to respectability nationally in a few yers.. Otherwise the Big 10 will be the Washington Generals to SEC and PAC 10 for a good long while.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:45 PM
and has lost to Arkansas 5 of the past 6 years
/never forget
September 19th, 2012 at 3:46 PM
True story: one of the stipulations of Urban’s family contract is he had to go coach in the B1G or Big East West.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:47 PM
This PAC-12 conference has been terrible for years.
/fixed
September 19th, 2012 at 3:49 PM
I was really hoping for a winning caption on that picture. Majestic derp.
How about: “looking for an Assistant Athletic Director to party with”
September 19th, 2012 at 3:49 PM
Just imagine how much UL-Monroe would beat SC by!
/uncalled for
September 19th, 2012 at 3:51 PM
Wisconsin has been real solid for going on 20 years now, putting them in a conversation with Iowa and Michigan State is an insult to my entire fried cheese curd eating family.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:51 PM
The Big Ten is ranked 4th in the Sagarin rankings. It was 3rd last year, 5th in 2010 and 6th in 2009. Maybe this is an “up” year for the conference?
September 19th, 2012 at 3:52 PM
Jesus. It was ranked 6th in 2008 and 2007 as well. I don’t dare look any further.
September 19th, 2012 at 3:53 PM
What is 80% of the SEC?
September 19th, 2012 at 3:57 PM
no, that was completely called for. just be glad you didn’t shell out a bunch of $$$ to go watch it.
what is really diarrhea inducing is that Arkansas still has to play Auburn (who beat UML in overtime, at home last saturday) and Kentucky (who lost to WKU last saturday).
11:20 games here we come!!!!
September 19th, 2012 at 3:58 PM
So, based on Sagarin (for what it’s worth), the Big 10 has been an inferior football conference to the Big East and ACC over the last half dozen years. Yikes.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:00 PM
Did I hear correctly that the Big Ten has only beaten 4 BCS schools this year and Northwestern has 3 of those wins?
September 19th, 2012 at 4:03 PM
Sounds right. NW beat Syracuse, Vandy, and BC . Ohio State (barely) beat Cal. Everybody else shit the bed, most especially wisconsin.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:10 PM
Yet the Curly Hallman era lurks like a relentless and evil poltergeist in the back of LSU fans’ minds.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:21 PM
@ Htown
Sagarin absolutely sucks/fwiw
September 19th, 2012 at 4:22 PM
So, you know, business as usual.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:38 PM
I could see Bama going into Baton Rouge and beating LSU by 2 touchdowns
September 19th, 2012 at 4:45 PM
More fun Big 10 stats. They’ve only won 1 Rose Bowl since 2000 (OSU over Oregon). Texas has won 2 since then.
Then there’s this…the conference only has 1.5 national titles since the Nixon Presidency started. I think the only reason they invited Nebraska is so they could count their national titles toward the conference total.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:46 PM
Possibly. Home field has never meant anything in this series. LSU needs to improve its passing game between now and then, they wont be able to maul Alabama in the running game the way they do most teams.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:53 PM
Can’t really count that stat. OSU played in 3 National Championship games in that timeframe, leaving a second place (or lower – Illinois) Big Ten team to play the 1st place PAC-10 team.
September 19th, 2012 at 4:59 PM
Ok, so there are only 8 years of getting pounded? That’s your argument?
September 19th, 2012 at 5:13 PM
Don’t put a lot of stock in those Sagarin ratings considering OSU had their worst season in a hundred years last years and that’s the year that the conference had one of it’s best rankings
September 20th, 2012 at 9:37 AM
Oh so the Big 12 is good because it had six good teams and six bad teams?
The Big 12 only has 10 teams. Both in 2011 and 2012.