College Football: Ranking Non-Conference Performances in 2012
We have completed three weeks of the college football season. There has been much talk about how the conferences have played against one another, or, more precisely, how much the Big Ten stinks (answer: a lot). We thought we would take a look at how the conferences against each other have performed thus far. We compiled the non-conference records of the AQ conferences. We used the Simple Rating System as a rough gauge of opponent strength and averaged them. The sample size is small. There are non-conference games yet to be played, but here is how things stand with the conferences today.
SEC [AQ: 4-4 (31.6), Non AQ: 13-2 (79.5), FCS: 6-0]
SEC. SEC. America’s best conference has, indeed, been the best team outside its own conference, though, aside from Alabama and LSU, they have hardly been imperious. SEC teams lost 4 of 5 against teams currently in the SRS Top 30, with the one exception being Missouri’s win over Arizona State. There are also the two Sun Belt losses to ULM and Western Kentucky.
Pac 12 [AQ: 6-3 (38), Non AQ: 11-5 (72.5), FCS: 7-1]
The Pac 12 has been the best team against AQ opponents. They beat Oklahoma State and Nebraska, both in the Top 35. One would not damn Washington (LSU) or Cal (Ohio State) for losing on the road as heavy underdogs to Top 15 SRS teams. The issue is the bottom of the conference, specifically Colorado. Losing by 55 to Fresno State (SRS 76) is their LEAST embarrassing loss. Only UMass is saving them from being the worst SRS team in FBS right now.
Big 12 [AQ: 3-1 (46.2), Non AQ: 10-1 (75.8), FCS: 9-0]
Big 12 teams have only lost twice, but have not really tested themselves yet. Only one team, Oklahoma State, has played a team in the SRS Top 45, Arizona. They lost by three touchdowns. The only other loss was Kansas losing by a point to Rice.
Big Ten [AQ: 4-8 (36.6), Non AQ: 16-2 (90.1), FCS: 6-0]
The B1G is out of the BCS title race in Mid-Sept, though it is not clear the B1G had a team that was ever in it. They faced probably the toughest top-end non-conference slate with seven Top 35 SRS opponents. They went 0-7. It’s not a broad systemic pattern, so much as it is school-specific. Penn State was gutted by the scandal and could not kick field goals. Notre Dame and UCLA have improved. Turnover in assistants and starters has hit Wisconsin far harder than most expected.
Big East: [AQ: 4-4 (59.8), Non AQ: 3-0 (105.3), FCS: 6-1]
Mediocrity is a victory for them. They have a 3-2 record against the ACC. Pitt beat Virginia Tech. Syracuse put up a fight in losses to Northwestern (SRS 21) and USC (SRS 8). The worrisome part is those two programs will leave for the ACC.
ACC [AQ: 4-7 (52.3), Non AQ: 2-0 (101), FCS: 13-0]
Clemson beat Auburn (SRS 68). That is the ACC’s best win. They have a 2-3 record against the Big East. Those wins were Maryland nearly blowing a huge lead to Temple and N.C. State edging UConn 10-7. Virginia needed a missed XP and 4/5 field goals missed to get past Penn State at home.
[Photo via Getty]

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47 Responses to “College Football: Ranking Non-Conference Performances in 2012”
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September 17th, 2012 at 12:52 PM
/fixed
//HuskerDawg
///pours one out
September 17th, 2012 at 12:54 PM
to be fair, most years when they see a lot of turnover from the previous, they’re mediocre.
September 17th, 2012 at 12:56 PM
a.k.a conference games.
September 17th, 2012 at 12:56 PM
Circular argument, wouldnt you say the primary reason those teams are in the top 30 is they beat SEC teams? Michigan and Washington are out because they lost to SEC teams. Using any kind of formula after 3 games seems a little silly. The record vs. BCS/FBS/FCS seems sufficient, as we’re ranking these teams on reputation at this point anyhow.
September 17th, 2012 at 12:57 PM
Notre Dame is in it to win it!
September 17th, 2012 at 12:57 PM
Yes. Though I don’t think anyone seriously thought they would be within one score in their first three non-conference games.
September 17th, 2012 at 12:59 PM
When I saw Utah State had beatned Utah I figured it was going to be unpleasant, the Aggies were the better team were it not for a couple special teams miscues…sadly I think Bielema would have to be bad for a good 2-3 years before Alvarez would give him the boot
September 17th, 2012 at 1:00 PM
Well you’re the 1st person in history to say it’s worrisome that the Big East is losing Pitt & Syracuse for football.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:02 PM
Arkansas lost to L-M. Kentucky to Western Kentucky. Shit, L-M took Auburn to OT. Not sure how those losses put the SEC at the top. Because remember, by their fans’ own definition, a bad loss is worse than good wins.
/OMGZ IOWA STATE LOSS
September 17th, 2012 at 1:02 PM
yea…good point. im cool with the middle ground being a bruised wisconsin…that state makes both ours look like heaven, what with the fat people and fat unions and other fat things.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:04 PM
WHY DO YOU FILL YOUR BURRITOS WITH LAVA, TRADER JOES?
September 17th, 2012 at 1:07 PM
To be fair, the SEC only claims Kentucky during basketball season.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:08 PM
Vandy, too, I take it?
September 17th, 2012 at 1:10 PM
only when the academic rates are being tallied.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:12 PM
I refuse to believe it’s lava considering the hottest pepper rating their salsas have is weaker than Thad Matta’s coaching chops.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:13 PM
i meant temperature hot, not scoville’s.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:13 PM
The fact that there have only been 26 games between AQ schools (and there probably aren’t TOO many more scheduled) doesn’t help the computers as far as their accuracy goes, IMO.
The Big 12 has played only 4 games against AQ schools? (UT @ Miss, Iowa St. @ Iowa, KSU-Miami and Ok St. – Arizona) Pathetic. Two more scheduled, that I can think of: TCU-Virginia and (kinda’ AQ) OU-ND.
SEC has 4 non-conference games, so they’re almost as bad as the Big 12, but hell, if I were in their shoes with their recent history and popular perception, I’d do the same.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:13 PM
also, about as offended at thad matta jabs as i am offended at my own farts.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:15 PM
SPENCER THE APOSTROPHES FUCK MAN
There is no hell worse than nuking a burrito and having to look at it waiting for it to cool down before you can devour its soul.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:16 PM
It’s going to hurt so bad when he passes K for all time wins.
/homer
Actually just did the math, and to match K (at his age), he’d have to average 26.5 wins per year. It’s not impossible.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:19 PM
GOD FUCKING DAMNIT. im sorry…im better than this.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:20 PM
Northwestern and Minnesota are undefeated!
September 17th, 2012 at 1:22 PM
NOTRE DAME.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:23 PM
I mean honestly. Really. Who plays a schedule against more ranked teams? I cant believe making fun of their schedule used to be a thing.
Glory. Returned to.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:24 PM
Silas Redd, 13 carries for 17 yards, game changer.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:26 PM
Do you count teams like Michigan and Sparty even though they’ll be unranked at the end of the season?
September 17th, 2012 at 1:26 PM
The glory that is Brian Kelly.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:27 PM
Well, you have to consider that he doesn’t want to get dirtied up because he’s still wary of showering after games.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:27 PM
Conveniently left off the two touchdowns I see.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:27 PM
If Alabama counted Penn State when they played, then yes
September 17th, 2012 at 1:27 PM
I keep this, bring back when Lady of the Lake loses their next 5 games.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:27 PM
Legends.
Leaders.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:28 PM
Schedule is truly absurd. Still have Michigan, Stanford, Oklahoma and USC. Insanity.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:28 PM
You forgot that they’ll get a chance to beat up on other Big 10 patsies, thereby ending up ranked before their inevitable bowl flops.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:28 PM
MSU will easily be ranked at the end of season.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:29 PM
To me, it only matters where the team is ranked at the end of the year. Alabama doesn’t get credit for beating “No. 8 Michigan.”
September 17th, 2012 at 1:31 PM
I still refuse to believe this is the actual names. I keep expecting to read a press release from Jim Delany where he says, “I can’t believe you guys actually believed me. I said it as a joke at first, but when you went along with it, I figured ‘Lets see how long I can make this last.’”.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:32 PM
If Notre Dame goes 10-2…. Brian Kelly should get a 10 year extension. 9-3 is most likely and should be applauded with that schedule.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:41 PM
Just wait until November when the SEC starts playing Western Carolina and Jacksonville State. Turns into a real gauntlet.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:41 PM
Again, lets see how good these teams really are at the end of the year. Michigan State barely beat Boise before losing to ND. Michigan isn’t anything special. Navy stinks. Purdue stinks.
Yes, if they beat USC, Oklahoma and a Stanford team that will likely have a couple of losses come game time, he gets a lot of love. But we’re still early on ND.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:44 PM
I bet the Louisiana-Monroe AD had to be shitting bricks at halftime against Auburn. At this rate, they won’t be invited back for the money games.
September 17th, 2012 at 1:44 PM
wins over Auburn, Penn State, Temple, UConn, Ball State, Florida International, South Alabama
Shouldn’t the ACC be 3-0 against Non AQ?
/not that it really matters
//still crappy
September 17th, 2012 at 2:02 PM
Had ULM made that field goal, it would likely be ranked today.
Imagine a world in which Ooh-La-Moo is a ranked team in college football.
Tha mind boggles.
September 17th, 2012 at 2:06 PM
Louisiana-Monroe
I’m pretty sure the SEC teams will circle the wagons and start calling in some favors with their homer AP poll voters. By year’s end, I fully expect LA-Monroe to be in the top 15 and those games against LA-Monroe to be considered Top Quality Wins and Tough Losses.
/they didn’t get 1 vote this week
//I have no idea what their record is
September 17th, 2012 at 2:10 PM
ND always finds a way to lose to UM.
September 17th, 2012 at 2:18 PM
Gotta do what you need to do.
/Roll Tide
September 17th, 2012 at 4:53 PM
I’m pretty sure the SEC teams will circle the wagons and start calling in some favors with their homer AP poll voters. By year’s end, I fully expect LA-Monroe to be in the top 15 and those games against LA-Monroe to be considered Top Quality Wins and Tough Losses.
or the more likely root: Ark and AUB are fucking awful teams this year and will max out around 3-4 wins this season.