Baltimore Orioles Tied For 1st Place. On September 5th. The Yankees Are Lucky the NFL Season Begins Tonight
What in the name of Joe Orsulak is going on here? The calendar reads September 5th, and the Orioles are tied for 1st place in the AL East. How can this be? The last time the Orioles were relevant might have been when I was a young lad in college and Baltimore won 98 games and lost in the ALCS to the Indians.
The Orioles and their embarrassing -19 run differential throttled the Blue Jays Tuesday 12-0, and coupled with Tampa’s 5-2 win over the can’t-hit Yankees, the former rivals are knotted atop the AL East.
I can actually name more Orioles from the 1988 team – the one that started 0-21 and finished with just 54 wins – than the 2012 version. Back then I was passionate about baseball – collected cards, kept fantasy stats by hand – and because Baltimore was the local team, I was well aware of highly-mockable scrubs like Larry Sheets, Rick Schu, Pete Stanicek and Mr. Do-Everything, Jim Dwyer. (I was a Mattingly fan.)
One wonders … let’s say the Dodgers, Yankees, and Angels all miss the playoffs, and they’re replaced by the low payroll Pirates, Orioles and Athletics. With the Red Sox still a 4-alarm grease fire and the Phillies nowhere to be seen … toss in the Strasburg shutdown and this will have to be Bud Selig’s worst nightmare, right?

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68 Responses to “Baltimore Orioles Tied For 1st Place. On September 5th. The Yankees Are Lucky the NFL Season Begins Tonight”
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September 5th, 2012 at 9:48 AM
This is a vintage baseball post.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:48 AM
No.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:48 AM
ratings talk!
/wanking
September 5th, 2012 at 9:50 AM
Go Orioles! Go Rays! Anybody but the Yankees!
/pisses on smoldering ruins of boston’s season
//wait, they actually came back and won a game last night?
///cmon 2013!
September 5th, 2012 at 9:51 AM
Interesting stat: the Red Sox run diff, just now over the holiday weekend, turned negative.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:51 AM
Let’s all snort Old Bay and chug some Natty Bohs to celebrate!
September 5th, 2012 at 9:53 AM
are you panicking, Mr Big Lead? sure sounds like it.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:53 AM
Maybe the Yankees should have a built a team that can hit in the clutch and not rely on a bunch of cheap shitty solo homeruns by Curtis Granderson.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:53 AM
I absolutely adore your newfound fixation on run differential in baseball.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:54 AM
If OPaCY is not packed for the 4 game series against the Yankees this weekend, just SHUT IT DOWN
September 5th, 2012 at 9:54 AM
must be interning for Keith Law
September 5th, 2012 at 9:55 AM
No. Unlike the NBA, which is utterly beholden to its playoffs because of how meaningless the regular season is, MLB does not need big market teams in the playoffs to generate (meaningful) revenues.
It is weird that your brain does not compute something this simple. Oh well, beat your drum.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:56 AM
lost in the ALCS to the Indians
F’in Tony Fernandez.
As a 12 year old kid leaving OPACY that night, I never imagined it would be this long before I saw another meaningful O’s game.
/Why not?
September 5th, 2012 at 9:57 AM
Watch more baseball.
I can name more players from 2001 Duke than this year’s version.
What does that mean? Draw your own conclusions.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:58 AM
If OPaCY is not packed
It will be. Planning to go Thurs & Fri nights. Should be fun.
/hopefully O’s fans will be in the majority
//Yardwork?
September 5th, 2012 at 9:58 AM
I’m happy for the O’s and O’s fans. They’ve had to sit back and watch the Yankees and Red Sox (and their fans) come in and pretty much dominate their ball park for the last 10+ years. I think it’s a better story than the Yankees winning another AL East, or, almost as bad, The Rays winning it and having to endure endless poems written to the brilliance of Andrew Friedman (who is great at what he does…..I just don’t want to read the sonnets about it after the fact).
September 5th, 2012 at 9:58 AM
That K needs to quit USA Basketball and start fucking recruiting some non white big men?
September 5th, 2012 at 9:58 AM
That or something’s wrong at home.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:59 AM
I am astounded that this post didnt mention one Jeffrey Maier.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:59 AM
can’t click a baseball link without reading about run differential.
September 5th, 2012 at 9:59 AM
Baseball needs a salary cap!!!
Wait, what?
September 5th, 2012 at 9:59 AM
No that college basketball sucks obvs.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:00 AM
must be interning for Keith Law
Yes, because run differential is so esoteric and nerdy
September 5th, 2012 at 10:01 AM
I’m glad for the Orioles and their fans despite Peter Angelos still being the owner
September 5th, 2012 at 10:01 AM
Well yeah.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:02 AM
Keith Law refuses to consider the Orioles a good team because of their negative run differential. He views them as worse than Tampa, NY, Chicago, Detroit, Texas, Oakland, and LAA
September 5th, 2012 at 10:02 AM
I know. And the Pirates/Orioles still hanging around are really fucking up its normal solid use, I just find it funny considering your absolute disdain for statistics.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:02 AM
That K needs to quit USA Basketball and start fucking recruiting some non white big men?
Kryzwerwhiskey needs to keep his summers filled with USA Basktball. Saint Self will be the next coach and he needs to focus on running shitty KU recruits off the team.
/realizes Duke won it all two years ago.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:03 AM
Orioles run differential since Sept. 4th = +12
/Pythagorean record = 1-0
//stats’d
September 5th, 2012 at 10:05 AM
i’d be panicking more if NFL didn’t start tonight. Might panic Thurs/Fri but then will be OK until i look at box scores/standings Monday
September 5th, 2012 at 10:05 AM
And 100+ years of baseball history backs him up on that.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:07 AM
This tunnel vision is fascinating.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:07 AM
BIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIRDS! If the Orioles come up short. Blame their GM for not giving up sexy prospects for Choo and Perez.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:08 AM
Keith Law refuses to consider the Orioles a good team because of their negative run differential. He views them as worse than Tampa, NY, Chicago, Detroit, Texas, Oakland, and LAA
The Orioles are a good story, and more power to them. Your actual record is what counts, so they will definitely deserve to make the playoffs if they can hold on. That said, outperforming your run differential for an entire season is incredibly fluky, and indicates that they are a fundamentally worse team than those you listed.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:08 AM
I had no idea that Brady Anderson came over in the trade that brought Schilling from Boston to Baltimore.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:11 AM
Blame their GM
While I hated the Duquette hire when it happened, I’ll be the first to admit that he, along with Buck, has done an incredible job this season.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:12 AM
it’s okay to just admit that you’re a very casual baseball fan. Nothing wrong with that.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:13 AM
I really hope Tampa, Oakland, and Baltimore make the playoffs with the yankees missing out.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:13 AM
SHOCKING that the Israeli Baseball League didn’t work out.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:14 AM
I am astounded that this post didnt mention one Jeffrey Maier.
die slow.
If the Orioles come up short. Blame their GM for not giving up sexy prospects for Choo and Perez.
we only have one sexy prospect left in the farm system, Dylan Bundy. there is a HUGE drop off in quality once you get past him. so i doubt Dan had the pieces to make any such trade this year without moving big league pieces.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:14 AM
For true baseball fans, this is great.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:15 AM
Legend.
Go O’s! I never thought I would ever get to see them in a pennant race again – or my kids for that matter.
/Angelos still sucks
September 5th, 2012 at 10:16 AM
It’ll give me something to follow once the Sox are out of the race next week…gotten a little annoyed at the Tigers for not just burying them already and forcing me to remain interested
September 5th, 2012 at 10:19 AM
Nobody wants to win the Central. The Tigers play the Twins and KC to end the season. They’ll probably go .500 against those dregs.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:20 AM
we only have one sexy prospect left in the farm system, Dylan Bundy.
Jon Schoop was #56 on Klaw’s preseason prospect rankings and Gausman will be top 25 next year.
there is a HUGE drop off in quality
After Bundy, Schoop & Gausman, yes, there is a massive drop off.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:20 AM
why would they want to make a trade that makes them worse?
September 5th, 2012 at 10:21 AM
I was saying this earlier, but this has been, yet again, another great baseball season. And this was all prior to the Yankhehes collapse.
Freddy Garcya last night?
September 5th, 2012 at 10:22 AM
Per a Jonah Keri column fairly recently (too lazy to go find it), this late in the season a team’s actual record is more predictable of its fortunes going forward than its run differential. Apparently, if you’ve outplayed your run differential this far, you’re likely to continue to do so.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:23 AM
normally, a starting pitcher for NY giving up 5 runs is not a problem because the Yankees were scoring 6-10 runs per game for a lot of the season. Now the offense is sputtering when it matters most
September 5th, 2012 at 10:24 AM
2006 St. Louis Cardinals. They won the world series but weren’t a great team (5 games over .500, +19 run differential)
September 5th, 2012 at 10:29 AM
I’d like to know what the Orioles run differential since All-Star break, last month and half has been. I imagine they dug themselves into a pretty big hole early in the year, but have been playing better baseball since.
September 5th, 2012 at 10:31 AM
After Bundy, Schoop & Gausman, yes, there is a massive drop off.
no, there’s still a huge drop off. Bundy’s ceiling is a #1 or #2 starter, which is much much higher than an above avg 2B or #4/#5 starter, IMO.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:02 AM
Not quite.
First two months of the season it was something like +8, June and July it was -60 or so. August saw a turnaround but June and July were the worst months.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:06 AM
Orioles run differential since ASB is +22
September 5th, 2012 at 11:08 AM
Orioles are a fun story. Having said that, it’s time for them to go away.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:09 AM
no, there’s still a huge drop off. Bundy’s ceiling is a #1 or #2 starter, which is much much higher than an above avg 2B or #4/#5 starter, IMO.
Would hope Gausman’s ceiling is more than a 4/5. (4/5 may be more realistic but IIRC have heard his ceiling is more in line with a 2.)
September 5th, 2012 at 11:10 AM
Orioles are a fun story. Having said that, it’s time for them to go away.
I’m a little disappointed there was no Curb linkage with the “Having said that…” You’re slipping Timothy.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:12 AM
Having said that, I shall now say this.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:14 AM
You are what your record says you are.
/Parcells’d
September 5th, 2012 at 11:22 AM
Surprising, yes. But what in the hell is embarrassing about it?
September 5th, 2012 at 11:28 AM
Good effort.
September 5th, 2012 at 11:31 AM
Ah, the eternal question with all of JMac’s baseball posts… trolling or stupid?
September 5th, 2012 at 12:00 PM
The difference is that team was coming off of having the best record in baseball for two years in a row, was on the same pace early before getting injured and then got healthy and hot at the right time. It actually was a damn good team with a pedigree of success. This Baltimore team isn’t quite like that.
That being said, it’s a great story and I hope they pull off the unlikely.
September 5th, 2012 at 12:09 PM
Turns out I have no fucking memory of when the All Star Game was.
September 5th, 2012 at 12:49 PM
July 10th.
I just went to baseball reference, copies/pasted the game scores from after the all start break til now into excel, and totaled each column.
/no life
September 5th, 2012 at 12:49 PM
their embarrassing -19 run differential
You might want to research the Orioles one-run game record. I thought I heard something about it being the best in baseball. The Orioles may be more “clutch” than a scoring machine.
/too lazy to google
September 5th, 2012 at 1:41 PM
The Orioles may be more “clutch” than a scoring machine.
They’ve had a great bullpen this year and are some ridiculous record when leading after 7 innings, like 50-1
September 5th, 2012 at 2:31 PM
TBL, you really should stop writing about baseball. Leave it to Hernia, or literally anybody else.
GO BIRDS!
/Banned