Dwight Howard Makes the Lakers the Team to Beat in the NBA, Yes, Better Than the Heat and Thunder
Dwight Howard getting traded to the Lakers helped the 76ers and Nuggets, and hurt the Magic. Now, we take a peek at how the trade impacts the Lakers.
I’ll be blunt and obvious: Dwight Howard, Paul Gasol, Kobe Bryant and Steve Nash form an old, but awesome quartet. They’ve got the best starting lineup in the NBA, even though Ron Artest will be a glaring liability at small forward. The bench, thanks to the addition of Antawn Jamison, finally has some pop. Jordan Hill, assuming he stays out of trouble, will be a valuable reserve. Nash and Howard in the pick and roll? Scary.
My main concerns:
* Mike Brown. If LA doesn’t win, that’s where the finger will be pointed. At best, he’s a mediocre coach. You almost wonder if Phil Jackson could be coaxed out of retirement to coach this team.
* Perimeter defense. Who guards Westbrook and Durant in the playoffs? Who guards Wade and LeBron in the Finals?
* Age. Nash (38), Kobe (33), Artest (32) and Gasol (32) are going to wear down. Two of those guys spent the summer playing in the Olympics.
I’ll project a 58-win season for LA, top two seed in the West, and (obviously) a showdown with the Thunder in the Western Conference Finals.
The LA-OKC series only went five games last season, but games 2-3-4 were very close (separated by eight points). After an impressive 20 points and 14 rebounds in game one (OKC rolled), Bynum grew ineffective as the series wore on: 20-9-4 turnovers; 15-11 (on 2-for-13 shooting!), 18-9 (four turnovers) and then foul trouble limited his impact in a game five blowout (10-4 on 4-for-10 shooting).
Howard averaged 22-12 last year in two games vs. OKC; in 2010 he averaged 39.5 points and 16.5 rebounds in two games vs. the (Perkins-less) Thunder. Even bigger than Howard’s improvement over Bynum? Nash’s arrival. LA shot a meek 28 percent from deep against the Thunder. Nash? A career 40 percent shooter from deep in the playoffs (118 games). Kobe led LA in assists in the playoffs last year (4.3 per game); Nash’s career average for assists per game in the postseason is 8.9.
LeBron and the Heat present a fascinating situation. LeBron seemed to excel at power forward late in the playoffs; he’s doing that in London, too. Will we see him regularly defend Gasol or Howard in the Finals? I’m excited at the prospect of finally seeing Kobe vs. LeBron in the Finals, and there’s no chance it ends the way Magic vs. Jordan ended.
I’ll secretly hold out for this – the Lakers lose in the conference finals, as Gasol looks like an old 32, and Kobe’s body can’t handle the 82 game season and then 17 more in the playoffs. Howard looks around at the roster – Ron Artest is old, the entire bench is on the wrong side of 30, too – and decides, ‘I’m out.’
Then he winds up in Houston with Jeremy Lin and the on-the-rise Rockets or goes home to Atlanta, where Danny Ferry nuked the roster and rebuilt it – leaving a spot for Howard.

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69 Responses to “Dwight Howard Makes the Lakers the Team to Beat in the NBA, Yes, Better Than the Heat and Thunder”
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August 10th, 2012 at 2:42 PM
Except Howard as no jump shot whatsoever.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:43 PM
No.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:43 PM
Sweet league Stern. Only about 4 – 6 teams should even try this year.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:44 PM
And this. Scary? Yes…scary in how much Howard’s shooting % will likely go down this year.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:44 PM
After all the back-and-forth he did with Orlando this past season, if he were to do this to LA, he’d best move out of the country. The hate that would be directed towards him would be deep & lasting.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:45 PM
I like heat, it’s like I can drink all the Bud Light Premium I want when it’s hot, and I never get drunk!
I don’t like thunder, though. When it’s bad weather, I try to curl up with Rollo until it all goes away.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:46 PM
That’s a pretty big concern.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:47 PM
I’d still put LA behind Miami and OKC in terms of “Best in the NBA” and ahead of San Antonio. Yes, that’s an awesome quartet but the issues here (Mike Brown, age, Mike Brown, new system for some, Mike Brown and Mike Brown) cause me to pause.
Like I asked yesterday, “will Howard pout when Nash passes to Kobe/Gasol and he’s option #3?” Howard, for all his talents, is in “Show Me” mode right now. He’s gotta be that dominant force that he was 2-3 years back and not the petulant, self-centered diva of the last 18 months.
OKC and Miami have none of that drama surrounding them.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:47 PM
This seems pretty important…either you have Nash getting embarrassed by Westbrook (who then gets to the rim and draws some fouls on Dwight) or Kobe spends his legs chasing the guy around
August 10th, 2012 at 2:48 PM
Age is a stone cold killer here. So is the (complete and utter lack of a…) bench. And, we haven’t forgotten the Lake Show head coach, Mike Brown, right?
Nash is 39 and had trouble guarding traffic cones when he was 31. Now? Yikes. But, he is only the 2nd worst defender on the team courtesy of Antawn Jamison, who gets hives just crossing the wrong side of half court.
Look, this all star team is a nice idea. But, Kobe has never played with a guy that needs to dominate the ball. Howard may or may not be healthy. Gasol was soft last spring, but is suddenly recharged because of a guy that will take his shots inside and a 39 year old PG?
There is a lot of change here and I won’t say that it is all completely good. The Lakers will obviously win their share of regular season games, but I think that age will catch up to them quickly come playoff time.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:48 PM
I still don’t think the Lakers are better than the Thunder or the Heat. None of the elite teams are worried about Nash or Kobe anymore. Kobe has become relatively easy for good teams to guard. Just stick a guy into his chest and dare him to go to the hoop. Gasol will still be stuck in his high post role, which means he’s a non-entity. Kobe will have to adjust to Nash dominating the ball, or vice versa. The capper, Mike Brown is the head coach. Does anybody truly believe that Mike Brown can coach a team to a title?
August 10th, 2012 at 2:48 PM
I don’t know why you are so down on the Hawks. All they did was exchange Johnson for Williams (downgrade, but you seemed high on Lou), Hinrich for Harris (upgrade), and Marvin Williams for Morrow/Korver/Stevenson/Jenkins (debatable, but huge improvement in shooting)
August 10th, 2012 at 2:49 PM
Eh, You could say this about most years going back to the 80′s. NBA has been a star driven league and there’s only so many stars. Was the league more exciting when the New Jersey Nets were in the finals back-to-back years?
Also i love how we no longer care what a biatch D-Ho has been over the past year.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:51 PM
PJax is coming back.
/people who said Riley would replace Spoelstra about 20 different times over the past 2 years.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:52 PM
How many snaps is Tebow getting tonight?
August 10th, 2012 at 2:52 PM
As a goal line specialty back?
August 10th, 2012 at 2:53 PM
I’m excited at the prospect of finally seeing Kobe vs. LeBron in the Finals, and there’s no chance it ends the way Magic vs. Jordan ended.
What am I supposed to learn from this? The Bulls won’t beat the Lakers? Kobe won’t contract HIV and retire?
August 10th, 2012 at 2:53 PM
You mean on fake punts?
August 10th, 2012 at 2:54 PM
Sweet league Stern. Only about 4 – 6 teams should even try this year.
So how’s that different from MLB or NHL? Most leagues are layered: you’ve your title contenders, your playoff contenders, your middle-of-the-road teams and your dregs. This deal only moves LA from playoff contention up to potential title contention.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:54 PM
Don’t think the Lakers are better than the Heat or the Thunder, but absolutely think they could beat them in a series. As for Howard, he’s going to get more easy baskets than ever before with Nash’s probing style (not so much pick and roll).
People are concerned Kobe won’t give up the ball, but this Olympics is making it clear to him he’s not in his prime anymore. When he sees ring no. 6 on the horizon, I really do think he’ll alter his game a bit (not drastically, but enough for him to be effective).
Mike Brown will be fine. People bitched about his coaching when his team won 60 games back-to-back and they complained about his offenses when they were at the top of the efficiency ratings in the league. Having Howard control the paint is so immensely different than Bynum and he’ll run his defense to incorporate that fact.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:55 PM
The Lakers still someone else in the backcourt, preferably someone that can help out that major concern you simply glossed right over. After Nash, Kobe, and Artest there is nobody (Blake, Goudelock, Eyenga??). I realize the importance of a bench is really overstated in the NBA, but they need someone. I heard rumors about Barbosa, not sure that will happen. It’s also funny that Perk goes from gettimg amnestied/traded to now being an important piece for the Thunder.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:57 PM
For everyone wondering if LeBron would still “be hungry” I think the immediate ZOMG! Lake Show! might solve some of that. And it’s already been discussed how Durant will be in beast mode this season. We are going to see a bunch of headlines like this one – and I’m guessing more than a few of them make their way into the locker rooms in South Beach and OKC (and San Antonio, Denver, Indy, Boston…)
August 10th, 2012 at 2:58 PM
Why do you think that? Last year he led the league in PPP as the roll man w/ 1.38 and that’s with Jameer fucking Nelson as his point.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:58 PM
Currently 18 teams in contention in MLB as of today. 11 different WS champs since 2000.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:58 PM
How about some concerns over Howard’s back? I haven’t seen one person mention these yet.
August 10th, 2012 at 2:59 PM
The NHL playoffs are a crapshoot, in the NBA they’re mostly a formality until the end…not often you see a champ not being a #1 or #2 seed (and even the ’95 Rockets were still defending champs)
August 10th, 2012 at 3:00 PM
He was faking it like Costanza in a Rascal.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:01 PM
MLB probably has more parity now than at any other time in history other than the 1980′s. Just look at Cincy and Pittsburgh.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:03 PM
That’s why he only rapes white chicks, less of a chance of contracting the high-five.
/science
August 10th, 2012 at 3:03 PM
Take a brief respite from my constant fellating of BBC coverage to complain. Men’s 4×100 heats. Brits come second in the heat and are disqualified for late baton passing. Immediately commentators focus solely to analyze the Brit’s run to assign blame. Cut live to interviewing the Brit runners asking each in turn whose fault it is. Never are the results mentioned as to who actually qualified.
BBC was to busy berating their own athletes trying to turn them against each other to show the audience who actually qualified. Cunts!
Jamaica, USA and Canada go 1 2 3 in my 4×100 men’s tri-fecta.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:03 PM
but this Olympics is making it clear to him he’s not in his prime anymore.
Classic Kobe. It feels like he’s not really trying in the Olypmics and as usual, will come out and be Kobe, even with the new supporting cast. Yea, he’ll relinquish shots, yea, his numbers may go down, but Kobe is Kobe.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:04 PM
The 8 seed rarely has a chance to win the first round, let alone win the entire thing in the NBA.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:06 PM
Past 10 championship series/games you have had 13 mlb different teams, 14 for hockey, 13 for nfl and 10 for NBA
August 10th, 2012 at 3:07 PM
Not only is Mike Brown a bad coach, but he’s terrible at managing egos. Dwight and Kobe will but heads, and MB will be running the finger paint offense.
Last time I enjoyed seeing a bunch of supposedly great players burn and fail was 2004. Also the Lakers.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:08 PM
That team made it to the Finals with Malone hurt…this keeps being a bad example
August 10th, 2012 at 3:10 PM
I think it has more to do with Nash than Howard. Nash is still so deadly dribbling and finding guys and he always (even at age 37) had a knack for getting guys point blank opportunities. I don’t know if I want Howard anywhere near the perimeter setting screens and thus, taking him out of rebounding position.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:11 PM
Shaq, Kobe, GP, and Malone = “supposedly” great? Ok.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:12 PM
Jordan Burroughs = stud
August 10th, 2012 at 3:13 PM
In 2004 GP and Malone were no longer great, and Shaq and Kobe hated each other.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:15 PM
Do people forget they made the finals that year? Or that Malone was injured?
August 10th, 2012 at 3:15 PM
Well Dwight aint no Shaq. And Kobe isn’t 2004 Kobe.
Basketball-reference is always fun. That team actually had Horace Grant on it.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:16 PM
Was there a comparable Heat and Thunder that year though? Don’t really recall.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:18 PM
Yep, their best lineup. I’ll be interested to see if they play Lebron at 4 all regular season. Could wear him down.
Same thing would apply to Melo & the knicks but sadly they got Amare & his contract.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:21 PM
if kobe wins 2 more titles i can’t for the Kobe > Jordan talk
Kobe–Shaq. Gasol, Artest, Dwight, Nash
Jordan–Pippen, Rodman, Kerr, Kukoc
August 10th, 2012 at 3:22 PM
People forget that part of the reason Indiana went on that little run against the Heat in the Playoffs is Lebron wore down in the 2 games he played PF for an extended time and had to guard West. He said it wore him down.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:22 PM
I think people are confusing the pick and roll with a pick and pop. Obviously they’re not going to have Howard taking jumpers. However, he will set plenty of picks and roll to the basket for the dunk. I am quite sure you will see plenty of this.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:23 PM
2004 was the only year KG’s Timberwolves made it past the 1st round, thats who the Lakers beat in the WCF.
I know this comes as a shock to Celtics fans who have convinced themselves KG has played his entire career there.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:25 PM
thats what you call a wash.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:25 PM
That’s weird logic, but I guess I could see your point. PnR was such a staple of Stan’s offense and it never really seemed to bother Howard’s rebounding (you could argue it actually helped it–defense had to pinch in on the roll, allowing open perimeter guys with defenders then scrambling to the perimeter guys on a pass freeing up Dwight crashing for rebounds) Also, if I have (one of) the best PnR PG and (one of) the best PnR big man, I’m probably going to utilize that.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:25 PM
I’m as big a Kobe apologist as anyone, but 6 or 7 rings doesn’t make him better than Jordan. I still think there are some things Kobe did better than Jordan, but that’s not what we’re debating here.
BTW, Antawn Jamison can still score. I think people forgot he’s on the Lakers, and that he averaged 17 a game last year (granted at an alarmingly low percentage).
August 10th, 2012 at 3:25 PM
Just like Ray Allen is a traitor, how dare he not be loyal to the team he spent 5 whole seasons with!
August 10th, 2012 at 3:27 PM
Just dont ask him to score in the playoffs.
/Cavs fans’d
August 10th, 2012 at 3:28 PM
Scalia and FlyingElbow, I see your points. Yeah, they won’t be picking and popping with Howard, but I do think you’ll see weakside clearouts and plenty of pick and roll with Pau and Nash which allows Nash to get inside and dump off after helpside commits. (sorry for x’s and o’s)
August 10th, 2012 at 3:28 PM
Interesting if Antawn Jamison takes a similar role (bench scorer) as he did in Dallas in the ’04 season – lower totals but very efficient (53.5% shooting). He’s been miscast most of his career as a #1/#2 option.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:31 PM
Why doesn’t anyone give Orlando props for seeing into the future? Sure, they don’t get an immediate fix, but short of getting Kobe in return, they weren’t doing anything in the next couple of years.
Now they have three first rounders to go with a couple years of lotto picks.
Check back in four years and all will be well in Orlando.
Of course the nation doesn’t have the patience to wait that long.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:33 PM
hahaha
August 10th, 2012 at 3:35 PM
I agree with you Cursed. That’s what has to be so fun for Nash is the options he will have around him. I could even see his scoring average drop to single digits but him average 12+ dimes a game. Even if you don’t root for them, they will be a fun team to watch.
With a nice class of rooks and a few super teams, the NBA has earned my money for the Ticket this year.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:35 PM
If Erik Spo and his terrible motivational speeches can win a title, so can Mike Brown.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:36 PM
Flack, you’re right in what you’re saying. A lot of times people look at the return but not at how becoming a poor team benefits them as well. Cleveland lost Lebron and will certainly never get a player of that caliber again but they’re well on the road to rebounding after two years and a #1 pick in Kyrie Irving.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:39 PM
Man, you guys need to stop forming opinions based on Twitter. It just makes you stupider. Look what it’s done to J-Mac.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:40 PM
So what does this roster cost them in luxury taxes?
August 10th, 2012 at 3:40 PM
He can score, but as you point out, his eFG has dropped 5 straight years and last year it took the highest usage rate since the 00-01 season to get to that output. He also played 33 mpg last year and with Gasol and Howard playing near 38 minutes, that leaves only 20 minutes total per game (not counting minutes for Hill and McRoberts).
August 10th, 2012 at 3:42 PM
The bench was also terrible.
I think this trade is going to put the same sense of desperation on Gasol and Kobe that they possessed during the 2008-2009 season. Winning one for Nash especially is probably going to kick Gasol into gear…they seem like they’d get along quite well.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:42 PM
Something like $50 million next season on top of the ~$100 million in salary
August 10th, 2012 at 3:43 PM
Dwight’s numbers are pretty phenomenal considering he played with mostly scrubs his entire career.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:44 PM
I live in Boston, I formed my opinion inside the Garden. Fucking meatballs.
Points at Lakers current bench.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:44 PM
True, but for a while there he had a roster and scheme that fit together perfectly.
August 10th, 2012 at 3:51 PM
Kareem Rush and Slava Medvedenko were featured options during the playoffs. At least we have some proven guys on the bench in this year’s version.
Also, Malone was 41 years old, Payton did not fit in the triangle (unlike Nash, who will get more leeway running the offense), and Kobe was at his worst in every way possible (shooting too much, mind made up about leaving Shaq, being an egomaniac, etc). That was a pretty dysfunctional team once Malone went down after the 18-3 start.
August 10th, 2012 at 11:12 PM
I really don’t see how they’re _THAT_ much better. Howard isn’t going to make Gasol, Kobe, or Nash younger. It this line-up was out there in 2009, well, yeah.
I love NBA basketball. But good God. Go back to the 1970s and then start to ask, “how did every great player seem to end up on the Lakers?” It’s not a league. It’s a cabal.