Euro 2012 Group B Preview: Germany
Team: Germany
Nickname: Mannschaft
Rankings: FIFA (2), Elo (4), SPI (2)
Odds: 3-1
Euro History: Champions (1972, 1980, 1996), Finals (1976, 1992, 2008), Semifinals (1988), Qualified (1984, 2000, 2004)
Last Five Tournaments: SF – F – SF – GS – F
History: England beat Germany in the 1966 World Cup Final. The English spent the next 40 years downing pints, composing obnoxious World War Two chants and entrusting their future to fate and English pluck. The Germans revamped their footballing culture, placing a far greater emphasis on technique and tactical discipline. Guess which country has been to the final of 11 major tournaments since.
Germany has a record to rival any other nation. One can begin with Beckenbauer and run down the list of some of the game’s greatest players. By their standards, though, the Germans are in a bit of a slump. They have gone 16 years without winning a major trophy (last triumph: Euro 1996). They squandered opportunities to win in 2002, 2006, 2008 and 2010. The fourth time is a trend. The fifth time risks becoming a psychosis.
The last three efforts were nice runs amidst transition. This year, Germany has a perfect and potent mixture of experience and the world’s best array of young talent. Anything less than the trophy would and should be deemed a failure.
Qualification: Never in doubt. The Germans were the only team to go through a six-country group unscathed, with a perfect 10-0-0 record and a +27 goal difference. They were held to a single goal once, a 1-0 away win in their first match against Belgium. They did, however, lose 2-1 to France in their most recent friendly.
Coach: Joachim Löw may be international soccer’s best coach. He has been with Germany since 2004 and assumed the head job after the 2006 World Cup. During that period Germany has reached at least the semifinal of every major tournament. With his fortitude, his flexibility and his integration of young talent, Löw has succeeded in his second term where most international coaches falter.
Squad: The Germans should be dominant. They have the deep, versatile and gifted squad. Their defense is outstanding. Bayern Munich’s Manuel Neuer is among the worlds’s best goalkeepers. He will be fronted by the tournament’s best back four in Lahm, Hummels, Badstuber and whoever the other fullback will be, possibly Boateng.
Euro 2012′s best defensive midfield will protect that group. Two of Kroos, Schweinsteiger and Sami Khedira will start. All three are excellent defenders and distributors and are dangerous going forward. The trio in attack likely will be Thomas Muller, Mesut “Avatar Eyes” Ozil and Lukas Podolski, though Kroos can also play there. They have a ton of depth behind that. Andre Schurrle and Marco Reus are both brilliant creative talent. Mario Gotze, a 19-year-old described as the next Messi, may struggle to even see the field. Coming off a hip injury, he has not played a full 90 minutes since November.
Striker is the only place the Germans underwhelm, and only slightly. It’s hard to quibble with Mario Gomez, a physical presence and top-class finisher who has scored about 80 goals for Bayern Munich the past two seasons. That said, he has games where he loses composure and becomes ineffective (see Champions League Final). With the old war horse MIroslav Klose and eight-goal scorer Cacau, Germany does not have much depth behind him. Should Gomez falter the next best option might be Lukas Podolski.
Tactics: Germany has an intelligent and very skillful squad. Löw will play a 4-2-3-1 with a firm defensive base and release their shackles going forward. This is a more seasoned team then the group Germany sent to South Africa, and that team assassinated England and Argentina by an 8-1 margin en route to a closely fought semifinal with Spain.
Champions League Hangover: Eight Bayern Munich players, all probable starters, just got rattled. They did not just lose the Champions League Final, but lost at home in a game they controlled with three missed penalties. The iconic image was Bastien Schweinsteiger on the opposite side of the field with his back turned, unable to watch. It’s not clear how that trauma will effect this team, but it can’t be a positive. If the Germans come out flat, you may see an infusion of Dortmund players.
Politics: Multiple Germans have expressed displeasure with host Ukraine’s imprisonment of opposition leader Yulia Tymoshenko. Germany captain Philipp Lahm called out the Ukraine government for human rights violations. German chancellor Angela Merkel has threatened to boycott the tournament.
Prognosis: On paper, they should overwhelm every team they face en route to the final. The question is whether they can win the tournament and raise their game against great opposition in that one decisive moment. They are capable but also unproven. Germany should be favorites to win Group B. Should they do so, they would avoid Spain and a rematch with the Netherlands until the final.
Fun Fact: Patrons consume on average about 1.82 million gallons of beer during Munich’s Oktoberfest.
[Photos via Presswire]
Group A: Poland, Czech Republic, Greece, Russia
Group B: Denmark, Germany, Netherlands, Portugal
Group C: Croatia, Ireland, Italy, Spain
Group D: England, France, Sweden, Ukraine

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20 Responses to “Euro 2012 Group B Preview: Germany”
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May 23rd, 2012 at 3:29 PM
Confidence at an all-time low as a Bayern and German supporter. I’m predicting another finals appearance where we will yet again be the runners-up. Y’know, like we’ve been doing for past 10 years.
May 23rd, 2012 at 3:30 PM
Doesn’t get old.
May 23rd, 2012 at 3:39 PM
I’d be more worried about the CL hangover if Robben were German. He can’t ruin their chances so they should be okay.
May 23rd, 2012 at 3:44 PM
A 996 Porsche? At least give me the 997, if you are not going to show the 991.
996′s were the low point in the 911′s.
May 23rd, 2012 at 3:48 PM
Only the non-German speaking media say this but it is a great nickname. I’d actually bet on Germany winning but they have to get out of what is probably the toughest group first.
May 23rd, 2012 at 3:55 PM
If they lose it’ll be a choke job. With Spain banged up, there isn’t another team that can match Germany.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:00 PM
I imagine I will be rooting for the Irish but expect nothing from them, after they lose I will pull for the Germans.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:07 PM
Go Czech!
/drinks beer
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:08 PM
Great write up Duffy. Went back and read all your other ones.
Muller, Ozil, and Podolski is a frightening lineup for any opponent. Schweinsteiger is a straight up badass in that defensive midfield.
/where’s soused with his insulting rants like the ones he wrote for other countries?
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:10 PM
Allez les bleus!!!
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:16 PM
Not sold on Spain. If Germany or Holland falter, this tournament could get very interesting. Drops downhill sharply. Fourth/Fifth favorites are France and England.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:25 PM
France could be dangerous. Can’t wait for their match against England.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:26 PM
Have a lot of talent, no Domenech…
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:27 PM
Spain still have plenty of quality. Weak at the back but their midfield is still unmatched. I agree that France is intriguing, but I can’t even bring England into the conversation.
1. Germany, 2. Spain, 3. Netherlands, 4. Everyone Else.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:27 PM
Yes….and YES to the FUCKING YES. Crazy Ray is no more.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:30 PM
Have a lot of talent, no Domenech…
That’s their best change. What a fucking loon to not have Nasri on the 2010 WC squad.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:31 PM
Holland looks like the team to fall – lots of big names competing over a few positions in attack, no great defenders in the squad, and both Sneijder and Robben are either tired or off their peak form. I could see them getting tripped up against Ronaldo, which would then put them in a tricky goal differential scenario against Denmark.
May 23rd, 2012 at 4:54 PM
Italy might be better than England going into the tournament. Buffon is still good, Pirlo is coming off one of his best seasons, Balotelli provides the ‘unknown’ factor, and there’s more stability in the overall set-up when compared to Hodgson’s team, whatever that may be.
May 23rd, 2012 at 5:09 PM
Yup. Like I said yesterday, I think they’re bottom of the group. They missed their chance with this crop.
May 24th, 2012 at 10:52 AM
Disagree on Holland. They will be younger and more athletic in the back. RvP and Huntelaar are both in great form. Strootman will push van Bommel or de Jong to the bench. They also open with Denmark, and I’m not sold on the Danes. Holland-Portugal in the third round of group games will likely be for a place in the knockout round.