Comments on: NFL Draft Study On Character Issues Does Not Add Up

By: roger from oz

roger from oz — Mon, 23 Apr 2012 02:23:26 +0000

character matters. don’t be a dope looking for some publicity for a dope ass research study.

By: Stephen Wu

Stephen Wu — Sun, 22 Apr 2012 19:33:03 +0000

p.s. –
we’ve also used non-linear specifications for the draft order and we get the same general results.
As for the use games started, it’s true that it would be easier to play (or start) on a weaker team. But even if you look _within_ specific teams, you generally see that the players with criminal backgrounds that they draft are outperforming their draft order, while those with suspensions do slightly worse than what would be predicted by just their draft order.

By: Stephen Wu

Stephen Wu — Sun, 22 Apr 2012 19:22:08 +0000

I had originally posted a very brief summary (with not all of the regressions). I have reposted at the same link a more extensive version.
http://academics.hamilton.edu/economics/swu/NFLdraft.pdf

This contains more of the analysis, in particular the regressions that Jason is asking about.
Even after controlling for draft order, teams are undervaluing those that are arrested but not charged. In some instances, we see that those who have suspensions are not penalized in the draft enough (so that they’re slightly over valued). We look at a few more measures than just games started –

Thanks, Jason for your careful read of the original summary.

By: Clayton Cargill

Clayton Cargill — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 21:21:44 +0000

Nah, lisk, the video you missed here was the running back shooting he way to the end zone at the beginning of the Last Boy Scout. character concerns.

By: Jason Lisk

Jason Lisk — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 20:54:47 +0000

I quit reading around 40 words in.

And so you missed the video of a bear farting at the bottom. Pays to stick around.

By: Clayton Cargill

Clayton Cargill — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 20:32:44 +0000

I quit reading around 40 words in.

I started it, quit and went on to do other things, all of which were awful. This time, i read it, and I even read the linked piece. That doesn’t mean I understand it, of course, but I have mumbled all of the words in a low voice, even the big ones.
But seriously, Janoris Jenkins is a 2nd rounder because he’s got character concerns. Whoever drafts him will probably be OK until he runs out of money. I think he’d run out of money even faster as a first rounder, despite getting much more money. Plus, he won’t be coming to the cashier every other day asking for an advance on next year’s 5 million guaranteed dollars, as a second round draft choice.

By: Nathan Wind

Nathan Wind — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 20:08:11 +0000

I quit reading around 40 words in.

By: starkweather

starkweather — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 19:45:09 +0000

Jason IndustrioLisk strikes again!

By: Seven Different Kinds Of WhatHaveYa

Seven Different Kinds Of WhatHaveYa — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 19:15:00 +0000

re-run this when there are people to see it

/yes, ap you are a person too

By: A.P.

A.P. — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 19:11:25 +0000

Interesting piece. I appreciate you looking at the data. It definitely provides good discussion points.

By: A.P.

A.P. — Sat, 21 Apr 2012 19:09:46 +0000

Lisk, the first line should say Hamilton College, not University.

/here to help
//live 25 minutes from the college