2012 MLB Preview: NL East
The 2012 Major League Baseball season began last week with an already forgotten series in Japan between the A’s and the Mariners. Then we went back into Spring Training mode. Tomorrow night, the Marlins host the World Champion St. Louis Cardinals. The day after that, some more teams play. The same thing happens Friday. Eventually, all the teams will have played a regular season baseball game. Yes, it’s quite a snazzy plan concocted by Bird Selig and friends.
Last week we first took a peek at the NL Central, then we shadowboxed with the NL West.
Today, it’s a tryst with the NL East.
Philadelphia Phillies
2011 Record — 102-60, 1st place
Notable Additions — Jonathan Papelbon, Laynce Nix, Chad Qualls, Jim Thome, and Ty Wigginton. Perhaps the mild-mannered, classy Thome will rub off on Cobra Kai veteran and notorious prick, Jonathan Papelbon.
Tragic Losses — Raul Ibanez, Ryan Madson, Brad Lidge, Roy Oswalt, and … you’re not going to believe this one … Ross GLOAD. Love that name. Let’s hope the Gloadster lands on his feet somewhere.
Good News — Dontrelle Willis has taken his 30-city adventure tour to Baltimore and Jimmy Rollins, who signed a three-year deal, will likely finish his career in Philly. Most important is of course the starting pitching: Doc, Clifton, and Cole form an exquisite three-headed monster.
Bad News — Here’s a great nugget from MLB Trade Rumors: Papelbon signed for more than Heath Bell, Ryan Madson, Francisco Cordero, Takashi Saito and Francisco Rodriguez combined. Sure, they overpaid, but could we have asked for a better villain to join forces with the Philadelphia Phillies? It’s the absolute perfect landing spot for him. Now we just need the Mets to be good again so an actual rivalry can exist, and then we’ll be all set. Additonally, they’ll be starting the season without the services of Ryan Howard and Chase Utley. Brutal. Have fun counting on Ty Wigginton to make up for the lost production.
Outlook — The Phils have won five straight division titles and finished second for three consecutive seasons before that run began. But the creaky Phils are old and beat up, so I’m expecting — or at least hoping — for a shakeup in this division. Finally. I had already been thinking of third place for Philly, and then I went to their page on Baseball Reference and realized that what I saw — “3rd of 5″ — was a telling omen. Yup, 84 wins, 3rd place.
Probable 2012 Anthem — For one thing, it’s Philly. Plus Papelbon now resides on the roster, so, yes, “Bodies” by Drowning Pool. This should really be his new entrance music anyway.
New York Mets
2011 Record — 77-85, 4th place
Notable Additions — Jon Rauch, Ronny Cedeno, Ramon Ramirez, and renowned opener Frank Frank. Why didn’t Sandy Alderson just attack himself with an industrial strength staple gun? I bet it would have been more fulfilling than this offseason “free agent hunt.”
Tragic Losses — Jose Reyes, Willie Harris, Ronny Paulino, Chris Capuano, and Jason Isringhausen. Reyes is obviously the irreplaceable hole here that will be dearly missed amongst the fans. But now, now he decides to sport orange hair? He’s just rubbing it in at this point, though I’m not sure resembling a more effeminate version of Sisqo is really rubbing it in. Whatever, it’s Miami.
Good News — Johan Santana has been named the team’s Opening Day starter. Seriously, this is great news for the Mets. Santana will be returning after undergoing shoulder surgery 19 freaking months ago. Remember when the Yankees were in the hunt for Johan’s services with a new trade scenario seemingly every day? That feels like 10 years ago. Hopefully he can stay healthy.
Bad News — RA Dickey, Jon Niese, Mike Pelfrey and Dillon Gee will join Santana in the rotation. Dickey recently revealed he was sexually abused as a child, Pelfrey reeks of a guy dying for a fresh start, who the hell knows what Gee will bring this year, and Niese is about to shift into cruise control aftter he signs a 5-year deal. OK, perhaps that last part wasn’t fair, although I would love it if pitcher contracts were more in the NFL mold. We would see far fewer overpaid jackasses simply going through the motions. On a side note, the team reduced payroll by a record $50 million. Safe to say fan expectations are pessimistically realistic.
Outlook — Somehow they won 77 games last year with all the injuries they ran into along with an ugly cloud of drama hovering over the team like ruthless wing gas. But given their personnel, is this season really going to be all that different? Last place with 74 wins.
Probable 2012 Anthem — The Tetris theme song.
Miami Marlins
2011 Record — 72-90, 5th place
Notable Additions — This is the shiny new car in the division. The freshly coined Miami Marlins had a huge offseason in nearly every capacity. The team has moved into a ridiculous new stadium, acquired manager Ozzie Guillen from the White Sox, and brought in Jose Reyes, Mark Buehrle, Carlos Zambrano, and Heath Bell. I’m not sure if that’s exactly how Jeffrey Loria drew it up, but it feels damn close to nearly every star aligning.
Tragic Losses — Javier Vazquez and Chris Volstad. Good riddance. Their offseason was pretty much the polar opposite of Atlanta’s in that they’ve lost so little and added so much.
Good News — Look at all those wonderful new toys. Plus, Marlins Park has a Bobblehead Museum and a club that stays open until 3 am. Safe to say they successfully covered all the key demographics. Plus, Marlins fans may actually attend Marlins games. Watching Logan Morrison track down a fly ball in left field last night while a sea of fans looked on through the outfield glass was surreal.
Bad News — Oh, check it out, Jose and Hanley have dyed their hair orange and have chosen to barber their eyebrows. Sweet look, assholes.
Outlook — I feel terrible for fans of the Marlins simply due to how much I’m liking them to win the division. Sorry, but the official call here is a scintillating 1st place finish with 92 wins.
Probable 2012 Anthem — I already mentioned Sisqo in reference to Reyes in the Mets portion, so “Thong Song” feels apt. Throw in the Miami factor and it’s a no-brainer.
Washington Nationals
2011 Record — 80-81, 3rd place
Notable Additions — Edwin Jackson, Brad Lidge, Mark DeRosa, Ryan Perry, and Gio Gonzalez. The Nationals aren’t a joke anymore. They weren’t last year either, finishing just one game under .500. So hope in D.C. remains alive and well, which is rather nice when you consider the living, breathing vomit that is the putrid Redskins and the vile Wizards.
Tragic Losses — Livan Hernandez, Laynce Nix, Pudge Rodriguez, Jonny Gomes, and the great Alex Cora, whose steady existence in the major leagues is heading into its 15th season. Aside from losing Livan and his 175 IP, no one will be complaining about the absence of this cast.
Good News — Edwin Jackson and Gio Gonzalez joining Stephen Strasburg and Jordan Zimmermann makes for a suddenly nice starting rotation. Can Wang return to his once commanding presence or will he continue to shrivel up like a frightened turtle? Getting anything productive from Wang would be an amazing bonus.
Bad News — It’s the Nats. This could all come apart like a visibly decaying Patrick Ewing, whose game fell off a cliff seemingly in a matter of minutes. And I didn’t know where to file this question, so it’s going here: How is manager Davey Johnson only 69? Feels like he should be dangerously close to a feeble 90.
Outlook — The satisfying surge to prominence continues. Second place with 89 wins.
Probable 2012 Anthem — “What Doesn’t Kill You (Stronger)” by Kelly Clarkson. Why? This team gets no respect until they rightfully earn it.
Atlanta Braves
2011 Record — 89-73, 2nd place, lost wildcard spot due to amusing chokejob
Notable Additions — Eric Hinske, Jack Wilson, and Chris Jones. Really? Beyond embarrassing. All I can belt out at the moment is Newman’s memorable “Oooh, the humanity!” Even more inspiring? Wilson will begin the season on the DL. High fives all around.
Tragic Losses — Derek Lowe, Alex Gonzalez, Nate McLouth, Scott Linebrink, and George Sherrill. I enjoy that the Braves front office opted to re-stock the shelves with Solo cups, paper plates and no utensils.
Good News — The ratio of women to men in Atlanta is something like 20 to 1. Twenty. Outstanding. This golden nugget of a statistic should routinely serve as good news for every player on the Atlanta roster.
Bad News — The Braves did a lot of chatting this offseason in regard to moving some key players — mainly Jair Jurrjens and Martin Prado — but ultimately kept their pants on and called it a night. Even worse, Tim Hudson will miss the first month of the season.
Outlook — Pretty big step back. Times are changing in the NL East. 4th place, 80 wins.
Probable 2012 Anthem — “A few More Rednecks” by the Charlie Daniels Band.
Previously: 2012 MLB Preview – NL Central
Previously: 2012 MLB Preview: NL West

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77 Responses to “2012 MLB Preview: NL East”
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April 3rd, 2012 at 3:59 PM
Soo all 3 AL Divisions tomorrow? Woot!
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:00 PM
How is manager Davey Johnson only 69? Feels like he should be dangerously close to 90.
Agreed.
The ratio of women to men in Atlanta is something like 20 to 1.
How do any of you Atlanta commenters have time to waste here. And get yourself banned. (I know, I know, single women doesn’t specifically refer to dead 2-year olds)
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:01 PM
At first I thought you were putting these teams in the order you think they’ll finish. 2nd for the Mets would be something.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:01 PM
Soo all 3 AL Divisions tomorrow? Woot!
Tim’s AL preview only concerns the Yankees, so it shouldn’t be hard to cover in one day.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:03 PM
Who are the lesbians?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:03 PM
i’m digging the Simon Phoenix look for the Marlins.
does that make david wright John Spartan?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:05 PM
lolz.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:05 PM
Soo all 3 AL Divisions tomorrow? Woot!
I’m working on the AL Central right now, entitled “Will you Marry Me, Hosmer?”
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:06 PM
It figures. This finally gets posted, and I’m about to get carried off by tornadoes before I can read it.
Go Bravos!
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:07 PM
As much as it pains me to say it, but the Braves are taking the division back this year. Too much young pitching, huge bounce back year from Heyward.
Braves
Phillies
Marlins
Nats
Mets
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:07 PM
Josh Johnson stays healthy, I too like the Marlins to win the division.
Pretty scary lineup, but not strong enough to overcome terrible pitching.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:09 PM
Notable addition? For giving their training staff more work, perhaps.
/Giants fans
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:09 PM
I interviewed him once when he was playing for AAA Charlotte. Tallest layer in MLB history!
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:10 PM
Tallest player. If he was the tallest layer, his name would be Raunch, not Rauch.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:10 PM
The inevitable blow ups by Nolasco and Zambrano will negate anything good that Johnson brings to the table. In addition, pencil in Reyes to miss 40-60 games.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:10 PM
How did I miss the Brad Lidge thing? He’s on the Nats now? Is he still any good at all?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:12 PM
well done on predictions. you’ve matched what i think and i’m always wrong.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:12 PM
Mark DeRosa is still in the league. Jesus Christ. Next you’re gonna tell me Aaron Rowand made the Marlins roster.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:13 PM
Maybe it’s still the bitter aftertaste of the September Dismemberment, but I cannot agree. I think second place.
Marlins-Nats finishing first-second? The chances of that equal my user name. Nats are gonna be this year’s Pirates: teasing in the first half, plummeting back into the cellar in the second half.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:14 PM
I think that look is more Wesley Snipes in Demolition Man than anything.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:15 PM
ahem…simon phoenix.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:16 PM
I hate DeRosa. When the Tribe brought him and Wood in things were gonna be great. Not so, not so.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:17 PM
Bobby Cox, 2012 NL Manager of the Year
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:17 PM
It’s only opening day for two teams tomorrow. At night.
So likely AL West & Central tomorrow. AL East before the first pitche(s) on Thursday.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:18 PM
When the Tribe brought him and Wood in things were gonna be great. Not so, not so.
Ex Cubs never make anything great.
Have fun with Z, Ozzie.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:18 PM
I concur with the Nats part…the first three weeks of the season they’ll have dog poop in the outfield. Strasburg is only going to be able to pitch 160ish innings this year. J Zimmerman will get around 180-190. And Gio Gonzalez is not that good.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:19 PM
It was more fun than predicting some combination of Phils-Braves, and this division is due for a massive shakeup. It’s been too obvious for too long.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:19 PM
Mets too high.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:20 PM
I hate DeRosa.
Well, the Tribe got Chris Perez out of that experiement.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:20 PM
sorry scripty…shouldve read the above comments first.
/done that like three times today
//prolly time to retire
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:21 PM
Reminds me of the 2008 Brewers actually. Loaded offense and a couple of pitchers you just hope for a good start every other time out.
On paper, Marlins look to have a bit better balance than every other team in the East.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:22 PM
Ugh, isn’t he injured? He sure as hell makes things interesting in the 9th. When’s Hagadone getting a shot?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:23 PM
Mark DeRosa was about as frustrating in a Tribe uniform as Aaron Boone.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:23 PM
I think that look is more Wesley Snipes in Demolition Man than anything.
I thought of the movie Paris is Burning
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:27 PM
It really is amazing how the Mets won 77 last year. I think 70 is pushing it this year though.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:28 PM
I think that look is more Wesley Snipes in Demolition Man than anything.
I was watching Demolition Man the other day, it’s really a modern classic.
Simon Phoenix goes to the museum and steals all of the weapons in the museum and they all were live and loaded. He also only talks in bad guy cliches — it’s very entertaining.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:29 PM
Will the Mets lose 100 games?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:30 PM
Phillies offense is going to frustrate their fan base all season. They’re going to be like a plus version of the Giants until Howard and Utley are 100%. The inevitable Jimmy Rollins DL stint better wait until June this year or they’re really screwed.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:31 PM
No, I don’t think they’ll lose as many as the Cubs this year.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:31 PM
There’s still a segment of Cubs fans that think Mark DeRosa was Hack Wilson.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:32 PM
Hinske and Jack Wilson are not additions for the Braves. This will be Hinske’s 3rd year with the club and Wilson was acquired mid-season. Also, Chris Jones will not be on the Braves roster.
But they did add Juan Francisco.
Other than that, you’re right on.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:32 PM
/cries
You are right though. Of course Charley and RAJ just love them some Juan Pierre over an actual potential .280/.380/30 HR guy in Dom Brown
/jumps off Ben Franklin Bridge
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:32 PM
It’ll be close. Cubs will fall in the 68-71 wins area. Be curious to see what, if anything, Santana can give the Metropolitans.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:33 PM
OT…ive mentioned the persian coworker i have here before, i believe. this sums him up in a heartbeat.
another coworker, my boss and myself were having a conversation, with my coworker and i standing on either side of the door to his office. persian coworker comes stomping around the corner, eating jellybeans with his mouth open, jams his way into my boss’ office and interrupts our conversation in order to offer us fucking jellybeans. JELLYBEANS.
naw…we weren’t having a conversation or anyhting, you’re not interrupting at all. and, please, please…keep eating with your mouth open.
god damnit.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:33 PM
Only if he brings Leo back with him.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:33 PM
I’ll be frustrated right with you, mantis.
/Clifton Phifer Lee owner
//Team Clifton
///Left-handed Maddux
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:34 PM
Fuck. Nick Fairley’s retarded.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:35 PM
Johan is going to be a horse.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:36 PM
His left arm might fall off by the end of the season…
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:36 PM
Love the Phillies fans already trashing the Nats this year. Might wanna wait on that pal, your best hitter is shane victorino. Also, Cliff is overrated. Hamels and Roy might be silly but thats two of five games you better hope to win 1-0.
Braves
Nats
Marlins
Phills
Meeeeeets
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:36 PM
On paper I totally agree with you. The oil and water factor will be the only thing that can really derail them. All jokes aside about that crazy HR device, I’m just excited to see their yard this year.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:36 PM
Well, he rubs elbows with Suh every day, you gotta expect some ruboff.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:38 PM
so enough with the cliffhanger bullshit spencer. did you take the fucking jellybeans or what?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:38 PM
Yup. You’ve lost me.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:38 PM
Phillies offense is going to frustrate their fan base all season
I’d kill for that kind of frustation.
/member Indians fan base.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:39 PM
Maybe on paper, but with the unbalanced schedule where are the Mets picking up wins? NL East likely has four winning teams, and roughly half of their schedule will be played there. Factor in six games with the Yankees, their inability to win on the west coast and their aversion to playing in the Central Time Zone and hopefully they can take two of three at home against San Diego.
In all seriousness, moving the fences in at Shea will hurt their pitchers more than it will help their hitters. Look at the home/road splits from last year for some of their pitchers…
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:39 PM
no…because fuck jellybeans.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:40 PM
based on the 9 year old baseball team I am helping coach this year being called the Phillies, I think they are a shoe-in to win this division in a walk.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:40 PM
What’s the appropriate taste for green jelly beens? Mint or lime?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:40 PM
Hamels and Roy and pray for …?
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:40 PM
Try winning the division or having a winning record consistely before shit talking.
Oh and Cliff Lee:
2008: 7.2 fWAR
2009: 6.6 fWAR
2010: 7.2 fWAR
2011: 6.7 fWAR
Only people ahead of him are Doc, Verlander, Lincecum, Haren and Sabathia
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:42 PM
oh for fucks sake.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:42 PM
Also for the Nats fans…try selling out your own stadium when Philly isn’t there as well. You know, we can’t keep propping up your ticket sales when only 5k of you show up and 30k of us show up.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:42 PM
Jelly Belly >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> jelly beans
/and it’s not even that close
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:43 PM
/fist pump… I mean bong rip!
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:43 PM
Surprised Haren is ahead of Cliff. Strikeout numbers, sure. But he walks a fair amount more than Cliff does. Not sure if it was two years or when, but the year he only walked 14 guys (FOURTEEN!!) all season was nuts.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:44 PM
shit yeah. great song. where the hell is Miz?
and I recently discovered sweet tart jelly beans. yes, they are as good as they sound.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:44 PM
Along with ATT, that park will be a destination this summer. Hopefully Loria was able to take all the money he bilked out of the Miami taxpayers and put in some quality food stands.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:44 PM
Nationals attendance should see a decent rise this year. Strasburg will fill the seats every fifth day or so and they have a somewhat quality product. Plus, the Capitals aren’t going to be playing past April.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:46 PM
Still think the Phils win the division. Marlins could finish second, and they could finish last (if not for the Nats or Mets).
The way things are currently blowing in Dallas, alas, I may not be around to see the season. There are reports that a high school east of here just got wiped out by the twisters.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:48 PM
Haren 28.3, Lee 27.9 …not that much of a difference.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:58 PM
I think you meant March, because the Caps have already quit on Hunter.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:59 PM
Stay strong, Nada. Strong like bull.
April 3rd, 2012 at 4:59 PM
The Phillies are hurt and old before the season even starts. What the Marlins did has the potential to blow up(Reyes injury, Zambrano flame out, Buehrle finally not pitching 200 innings, Ramirez not taking to 3B, and Stanton’s wrist being a problem all year). The Nats are the Nats until proven otherwise. They and the Marlins have the potential to be the team everyone expects to contend that doesn’t. Every season has one or two teams like this. The Mets could be better than people think. I’m not saying playoffs by any stretch, but 80-84 wins could be possible. Niese is going to be real good. Plus a healthy Ike Davis and Daniel Murphy will help. Atlanta is my pick for the division. They have pitching out the ass. I expect Heyward to bounce back from a sophmore slump.
Atlanta
Washington
Philadelphia
Miami
NY Mets
With the Cubs, Pirates, Astros, Padres looking to be absolutely horrible, all five teams in this division could finish with a winning or at least .500 record.
April 3rd, 2012 at 5:04 PM
By the way…none of us have any idea if Kimbrel or Venter’s arms will hold up after Fredi rode them into the ground last year. Both could be headed for Tommie John or Shoulder issues.
April 3rd, 2012 at 5:22 PM
Can Wang return to his once commanding presence or will he continue to shrivel up like a frightened turtle? Getting anything productive from Wang would be an amazing bonus.
Oh, my. Tee hee.
April 3rd, 2012 at 5:40 PM
This is why I pray for the return of Leo.