College Basketball: Big Ten and Missouri Valley Conference Picks
On Thursday, I made picks for the Big East, Pac-12, West Coast and Conference USA. I had planned on doing four more by today, but things don’t always go to plan, so today I’ll just go over the Big Ten and Missouri Valley, which started this week and have a full group of games today, then do the Big XII and Colonial Athletic Conference by Monday Night (when Baylor-Texas A&M and the CAA schedule commences).
BIG TEN CONFERENCE
The Big Ten rates as the top conference on average as we enter conference season. It has quality at the top and plenty of depth. 9 of the teams have double digit wins already, and 8 of them are ranked in the top 50 in Ken Pomeroy’s rankings. It is Wisconsin who sits atop those rankings despite a 12-2 record, while Ohio State is ranked 2nd. Indiana has the win over Kentucky, but did just lose their opener in the conference at Michigan State. The Spartans played a tough schedule early and lost to North Carolina and Duke, but the young squad has come on. Purdue, Michigan and Illinois all look like tournament teams, while Minnesota and Northwestern have a chance if they get some key conference wins, of which they will have plenty of opportunity.
Winner and Top 3 Finishers: I know that Wisconsin is rated highly in the Pomeroy rankings, but Ohio State’s lone loss came without Jared Sullinger (at Kansas) and until they get knocked out, I’m picking the Ohio State Buckeyes to win. The 2nd place finisher and 3rd place finishers should still get very high seeds in March. I’ll go with Wisconsin ahead of Indiana (the Hoosiers play the Badgers only once, and it’s at the Kohl Center), followed by Michigan State.
Conference Player of the Year Pick: Plenty of good players, but it is Jared Sullinger‘s award to lose. Cody Zeller of Indiana should win Freshman of the Year, and will be in consideration for honors along with teammate Christian Watford. Tim Hardaway, Jr. of Michigan, the venerable Robbie Hummel of Purdue, and Jordan Taylor of Wisconsin will also be in first team contention.
MISSOURI VALLEY CONFERENCE
After a somewhat down year in 2010-2011, when the regular season winner (Missouri State) didn’t get an at-large bid, the “Valley” has acquitted itself well early this season, and should be in position to claim at least one at-large, and maybe two extra bids this year come March depending on how things shake out. Wichita State has a quality win at UNLV and two losses that are solid in Alabama and Temple in overtime. Creighton beat up on the bottom of the Big Ten (Iowa and Nebraska), beat San Diego State, and has no bad losses. Northern Iowa beat both Iowa State and Iowa. Missouri State played a solid schedule and had some close losses (overtime vs. West Virginia and against Oklahoma State). They just went on the road to Creighton to open the conference and got a big win. Last year’s tournament champ, Indiana State, has a road win at Vanderbilt.
Winner and Top 3 Finishers: Wichita State is the pick to win, and the other teams will be fighting to finish in prime position to secure an at-large berth. I’ll say Missouri State comes on with the strength of their early win at Creighton (though they’ll need more impressive wins to get into the bubble talk with 5 non-conference losses), edging out the Blue Jays. Northern Iowa will also be in the mix with coach Ben Jacobsen. Even though Missouri State may pip the other two in the conference standings, Creighton is the more likely at-large candidate.
Conference Player of the Year Pick: Creighton sophomore forward Doug McDermott, the coach’s son, is leading the nation with 25.4 points a game, and averages nearly 9 rebounds. He’s a lock to win the award if he stays healthy.
[photo via Getty]

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18 Responses to “College Basketball: Big Ten and Missouri Valley Conference Picks”
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December 31st, 2011 at 3:13 PM
Another earthquake here in Ohio.
December 31st, 2011 at 3:15 PM
Hey Lisk, your boss thinks that the entire Big 10 is overrated since Wisky just lost at home to Iowa. Thoughts?
December 31st, 2011 at 3:16 PM
And, the MVC will be a stellar conference this year. This is likely a 3-4 team NCAA-bid conference. The Shockers are excellent. Creighton has proved itself against several BCS schools already, but then took one on the chin to start conference play. That league is a bloodbath.
December 31st, 2011 at 3:44 PM
Wisconsin 65
Iowa 72
at Wisconsin.
And Wally – i’ve thought that all season. Love hearing guys like Pomeroy talk about the great stats of the Big Ten … and then the conference falls flat as usual in March. i know the records, i see the stats, i get it – people they the conference is loaded.
i think it’s OSU, then Indiana, and then a lot of mediocre teamss.
how many sweet 16 teams from the Big Ten?
December 31st, 2011 at 3:58 PM
The second I commented that Providence was horrible it seems that Georgetown decided to take a look at their own dumpster and went ahead and set that shit on fire. Woof. What a terrible game. I kinda hope Georgetown isn’t the 12th best team in the country because that would signal a season of truly awful basketball all over the place.
December 31st, 2011 at 4:00 PM
I could be biased, but I don’t see Indiana finishing in the top 3.
December 31st, 2011 at 4:19 PM
Michigan State is not as loaded as in past but they historically play a really tough non-conf and then peak late.
December 31st, 2011 at 4:26 PM
OSU, MSU and Indiana.
/sorry Meat-chicken
December 31st, 2011 at 4:30 PM
Big 10 hoops is a weird one. Big 10 teams are built for phsyical conf play and at times that can hurt them out of conference. But they’ve put about 10-12 teams in the last 10-12 final fours, so that might be over-achieving?
Wisconsin is a weird program, kind of an outlier among top 20 programs in their ultra-gritty defensive style. Indiana is still TBD outside the Knight Era. Michigan is the wild card. I like Beilein as a coach but I’ve wondered if he is the right guy for them. He’ll turn them into a consistnent top 25 team and are a tough matchup at times (like some of the vintage Cuse teams) come NCAA. But will he consistently get the top players capable of a title? They will just seem like an after-thought after MSU and OSU.
Personally, I hate when teams play some slow down farm ball as that will prevent you from getting top recruits with that style. I like what Matta is doing.
I would heistate to base the conf slowly on their sweet 16 #’s solely. Seems arbitrary.
December 31st, 2011 at 4:39 PM
Indiana is not the 2nd best team in the Big 10. They might be 4 or 5. They are still at least a year away. There is a lot of hope for a skinny white post guy who lacks strength (and is really, really good).
Sparty, Michigan, and Wisconsin will end up better. Wisky played a horrible game today. That is an EXTREME rarity. They play ugly, but I’ve learned to NEVER underestimate Bo Ryan’s teams in league play. Tournament? Different story.
And basing everything on Sweet 16 appearances is just plain absurd.
Also, Pomeroy’s numbers are entirely statistically based. Even he has made fun of his own system for having Wisconsin #1 right now. He’s probably happier than you are today.
And, the call the entire league is overrated was completely Troll-esque.
/Call it like I see it
December 31st, 2011 at 5:59 PM
Thomas Robinson. 30 points. 21 boards. Played Fetch’s undergrad school. Ready for conference season to get going.
I still find it weird other conferences start before the New Year. Finals, holidays… seems odd.
/Not using this as an excuse for the Davidson loss. KU lacks depth in the starting five.
December 31st, 2011 at 6:19 PM
Go Salukis?
December 31st, 2011 at 7:57 PM
He has a monster class coming in next season.
December 31st, 2011 at 8:02 PM
Probably three. Four if that team has good matchups in the first two rounds.
December 31st, 2011 at 9:17 PM
If MSU had a shooter they would be scary. Without any they’re a sweet 16 team, elite 8 team if they get favorable matchups tops.
Every team in the Big 10 is flawed, sure. But make an argument that any conference in the country besides the Big East is better. Just try.
December 31st, 2011 at 11:42 PM
always nice to see Ohio State eat a bag of dicks against an inferior team.
January 1st, 2012 at 10:47 AM
Every team in the Big 10 is flawed, sure. But make an argument that any conference in the country besides the Big East is better. Just try.
The Big East is better only if you go by raw number of teams. The reason pretty much every statistical ranking has the Big Ten better (and the Big XII) is because of the average team. Big East has more teams, so of course a percentage of those are going to be good. This year, there are also a number of not very good ones, and the top teams should have an easier time. You can find 8 tourney teams in the Big East easy, but you can also find about 5 teams that would represent the bottom of the Big Ten or Big XII.
January 3rd, 2012 at 1:55 PM
If MSU had a shooter they would be scary. Without any they’re a sweet 16 team, elite 8 team if they get favorable matchups tops.
Every team in the Big 10 is flawed, sure. But make an argument that any conference in the country besides the Big East is better. Just try.
Appling torched us Wednesday night. If he continues that Sparty is going to be dangerous.
Only playing Wisc. once helps us a lot.