College Football’s Ten Most Surprising Teams of 2011
Eight weeks into the season and midway through conference play, we have a fairly solid read on how good teams are compared to how they were perceived coming into the season. Here are five teams that have exceeded initial predictions and five teams that have been notably disappointing.
Kansas State: Bill Snyder may not be college football’s best coach, but how many others would have this collection of players heading to a bowl game, let alone the top ten? We will find out exactly how good the Wildcats are during the next four weeks – they face Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Texas A&M and Texas – but it’s safe to assume no one expected the Wildcats to start 7-0 and Collin Klein to be a compelling candidate for Big 12 Player of the Year.
Eastern Michigan: Eastern Michigan went 2-22 during Ron English’s first two seasons. There were few signs his revolution was afoot. However, this year the Eagles are soaring at 5-3 with a solid running game and an improving defense. Two of the losses were designated victim games at Michigan and at Penn State. They have beaten both directional Michigan schools and look destined for bowl play. Doing that at Eastern Michigan (last 6-win season in 1995, last bowl appearance in 1987), would be an incredible achievement. Last year it looked hard to justify keeping Ron English. This year it looks as though they may have trouble keeping him.
Rutgers: Greg Schiano had plateaued, had run a highly touted quarterback out of the program and lost his last six games in conference to close last season. Things weren’t looking great. However, spurred by a huge year from Mohamed Sanu and a defense that has forced 25 turnovers, the Scarlet Knights are 5-2. The two losses, by a combined four points away to North Carolina and Louisville, were competitive. Schiano should return Rutgers to the 8-9 win range which, at Rutgers, remains an impressive accomplishment.
Wake Forest: Jim Grobe gets paid the big bucks, because he gets more from his team than just about any coach in FBS. Expected to be an ACC doormat, Wake Forest is 5-2 overall and 4-1 in conference with an upset of Florida State. Traveling to North Carolina and Clemson and playing Notre Dame at home, they could fall off, but few would have predicted them controlling their ACC fate this late in the season.
Vanderbilt: Clearly Vanderbilt’s offense – a unit that scored three points combined against South Carolina and Alabama – is not equipped to move the bowl against a great defense. However, the Commodores have won four of the five other games and nearly picked off Georgia at home despite shooting themselves in the foot with four turnovers. They are average, but after three FBS wins and a 1-15 conference record the past two seasons, average is a definite step forward. Beating Kentucky and either Tennessee or Wake Forest would get them to a bowl game, and this is before James Franklin’s offense and recruiting strength has made a meaningful effect.
Mississippi State: The Bulldogs entered the season in the Top 20. They didn’t stay long. Dan Mullen’s offense has been far less explosive than the one that overran Michigan at the end of last season. His team is 0-4 in the SEC with Alabama and Arkansas still left on the docket. Wins against Memphis, UAB and Louisiana Tech (at home in overtime) don’t get the saliva flowing. Wins over Kentucky and Ole Miss would save face and get them to a bowl game, but it’s hard not to view this season as an enormous let down. It’s good Mullen is happy in Starkville. He may be there longer than anticipated.
Boston College: Boston College’s offensive transition (99th against FBS) has been rough. Its defense predicted to carry them (84th in FBS) has been soft. Its schedule has been unforgiving. The result has been a disaster of a season. The Eagles are 0-6 against FBS teams. They needed two fumble returns for touchdowns to pull away from FCS UMass. The school’s best effort this season is either a 16-point loss to Virginia Tech or a seven-point defeat to a Persa-less Northwestern. Projected in the seven-win range, 3-9 is now the best realistic scenario.
Northwestern: Pat Fitzgerald’s team looked to be a Legends Division dark-horse. They have been a profound disappointment. The Wildcats are 2-5, the one FBS win coming against a putrid Boston College team. They have lost to Army and to their first four Big Ten opponents. Whether it is in-game adjustments, depth or conditioning, the team has fallen apart in second halves. They blew an 11-point fourth-quarter lead against Illinois, got shutout 28-0 by Michigan after entering the half with a ten-point lead and allowed Iowa a 24-point fourth quarter. Northwestern needs an upset of either Nebraska or Michigan State just to be bowl eligible.
Air Force: Troy Calhoun could turn the season on its head with five winnable games left to get to 8-4. Though, the way their defense has played that seems unlikely. Expected to buttress them, their unit ranks 110th nationally, terrible against both the run and the pass. They have not held an FBS team with scholarship players under 35 points. They have not beaten a team with an FBS win in regulation. It’s hard to pile on a team that can only recruit players willing to subject themselves to military service and who are smart enough to enter the Air Force Academy, but this team should have been better.
Maryland: Maryland wanted to increase interest its football program. The uniforms have attracted attention. So has Randy Edsall’s coaching. Though, it’s hard to argue either was a positive development. After a resurgence last year, Maryland is 0-5 against FBS teams since an opening win over Miami. The 31-point loss to underdog Temple at home was a particular lowlight. Gary Crowton has worked his magic on the offense, destroying the confidence of last year’s standout freshman quarterback Danny O’Brien. It’s early, but it looks as though the question three years from now will be the same it was today and at the time: “Why didn’t you hire Mike Leach?”
[Photo via Getty]

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69 Responses to “College Football’s Ten Most Surprising Teams of 2011”
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October 26th, 2011 at 2:25 PM
Bill Snyder is amazing.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:31 PM
Collin Klein to be a compelling candidate for Big 12 Player of the Year.
No. And that’s why Snyder is a hell of a coach. He took an afterthought QB that can barely throw and has turned him into a winner. Until the rest of season happens and KSU will be in the Pinstripe Bowl.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:32 PM
Good call on the Cats, Duffy. I bought into the hype to start the year. Persa turned out to be just another jNWU QB.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:34 PM
so, we are still acting like ND is worth a shit, huh? that’s cute.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:36 PM
Damn, you beat me to it.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:36 PM
The article that links to makes a bigger point. Snyder built K-State from nothing, it went back to nothing when he stepped away, and now he’s doing it again. It really is incredible.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:37 PM
Almost as incredible as the fact they call that purple in their jerseys “Kansas Blue.”
October 26th, 2011 at 2:38 PM
he can thank Arkansas’s coaching search for that. thankfully (for both parties probably) he took the pay raise and stayed at Wake. dude would likely have gotten eaten up in the SEC.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:38 PM
Dog runs onto soccer field and evades capture, like, a bazillion times.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:40 PM
Almost as incredible as the fact they call that purple in their jerseys “Kansas Blue.”
I don’t have the hate for KSU that I do for Mizzou, but most of their fans are fucking retarded. They have this chant, “EMAW” that is just stupid. Every Man a Wildcat. Dumb.
/still licking my wounds from last Saturday.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:40 PM
Ypsilanti is a shit hole
/points to Ypsilanti’s location on hand
October 26th, 2011 at 2:40 PM
A coloring book probably got mixed up with Origin of Species when a school administrator was doing his recycling.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:41 PM
No love for the leader of the Leaders?
/enjoying it while it lasts
October 26th, 2011 at 2:41 PM
I have two friends that went to K-state. They make jokes about what a shithole that place is.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:42 PM
FACT
October 26th, 2011 at 2:42 PM
Ypsilanti is a shit hole
/points to Ypsilanti’s location on hand
You should probably wash your hands better.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:43 PM
Ypsilanti is a shit hole
I was born in Ypsilanti! Fuck you!
/hasn’t been back since I moved out of MI at 2 weeks old
//so yeah, it probably is a shit hole
October 26th, 2011 at 2:44 PM
Actually, if you took my comment literally then I would have an actual asshole on my hand. But thanks for playing.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:44 PM
It really is.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:45 PM
//so yeah, it probably is a shit hole
It really is.
My parents lived in Ann Arbor, but I was born in a hospital in Ypsilanti I guess. Regardless, they both suck.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:45 PM
This. I’m guessing a lot of people haven’t seen K-State play. How they’re doing what they’re doing with a QB who throws like that is a mystery.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:46 PM
I think it will last for 2 more weeks. If we go 2-2 the last four games, I’ll be happy.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:46 PM
Actually, if you took my comment literally then I would have an actual asshole on my hand. But thanks for playing.
If you had an asshole on your hand….you wouldn’t wash your hands better?
October 26th, 2011 at 2:51 PM
According to Sagarin, UMD has one of the 10 hardest schedules in the nation. Still doesn’t excuse chasing off your talented starting QB b/c he’s not your recruit, though.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:51 PM
HA! Thanks for that.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:55 PM
the fact that they can even recruit D1 players to Manahattan is nothing short of a miracle. to make them competitive as well is amazing. the fact that they are so much better than KU is really something.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:56 PM
why are there so many fucking directional schools in Michigan?
October 26th, 2011 at 2:56 PM
K-State has had an excellent start, but they could easily lose the next 4 games and be 7-4 heading into their season ending game with Iowa State. Bill Snyder is a magician though. All he does is win games.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:57 PM
why are there so many fucking directional schools in Michigan?
Illinois has several as well.
October 26th, 2011 at 2:59 PM
why are there so many fucking directional schools in Michigan?
Because Michiganders have to rely on their stupid hand to figure out what part of the state they’re from. They’re not good with geography or directions.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:03 PM
there is nothing about that video that isn’t completely awesome.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:04 PM
why are there so many fucking directional schools in Michigan?
Illinois has several as well.
yes, but the ones from Michigan seem to always be in some shitty bowl game on my TV come mid-december, then I have to look up each of them to figure out which one they are and if their 8-5 record could get me a cover…
October 26th, 2011 at 3:05 PM
I will most likely (97%) be on the field working the Rutgers WV game this Saturday. Should be interesting to catch that close of a view.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:07 PM
Miss State’s season shouldn’t be all that surprising. SC, UGA and LSU are all much better than they are, and AUB, while super young, has infinitely more talent. Last season was a big mirage as far as I’m concerned. The absolute best MSU does this year is 3-5, and that’s in a down SEC.
N’Western is a good call. They have fallen on their face this season.
Another one I would say would be Clemson. No one, and I mean NO ONE, thought they’d be 8-0 (or is it 7-0?) at this point in the season.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:09 PM
Another one I would say would be Clemson. No one, and I mean NO ONE, thought they’d be 8-0 (or is it 7-0?) at this point in the season.
Agreed, starting to think they won’t pull a Clemson this year, am I crazy to think that?
October 26th, 2011 at 3:11 PM
True. But this is where Sparty Justice happened.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:11 PM
I’ve never had a McRib in my life and reading this doesn’t make me want to break that streak.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:12 PM
True. But this is where Sparty Justice happened.
I thought you got it on her face, not her ass.
Oh, I see….
October 26th, 2011 at 3:14 PM
True. But this is where Sparty Justice happened.
Legendary.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:14 PM
The Nolez not surprising?
October 26th, 2011 at 3:14 PM
True. But this is where Sparty Justice happened.
Your football team is about to get “Sparty Justice’d” this weekend in Lincoln
October 26th, 2011 at 3:17 PM
why are there so many fucking directional schools in Michigan?
Everyone’s looking for a direction out?
October 26th, 2011 at 3:17 PM
Oh Lordy, here we go again…
October 26th, 2011 at 3:18 PM
Nebraska could win by 50, burn Kirk Cousins alive, and impregnate the Spartan cheerleaders and not come close to the level of humiliation involved in Sparty Justice
October 26th, 2011 at 3:19 PM
I’ll always assume they’ll pull a Clemson.
Great fucking call. Biggest disappointment of the year, right?
At least one of us is confident, though admittedly I’m never confident in regards to Nebraska.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:19 PM
they’re Clemson, I think anything is possible.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:21 PM
Oh Lordy, here we go again…
I’ll be honest St. Bear, that was half the reason I posted that link.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:23 PM
Top 5 to 3 losses? They’ve been copying USF or something.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:23 PM
That practically leaped out off the screen at me, and I don’t even care about BBQ Wars.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:23 PM
Your football team is about to get “Sparty Justice’d” this weekend in Lincoln
At least one of us is confident, though admittedly I’m never confident in regards to Nebraska.
nope, just messing around, not confident in the least, been a fan way too long and watched every snap this year, so I don’t have any confidence
October 26th, 2011 at 3:24 PM
And provide succor for America’s poor, poor Phys. Ed majors with 1.0 GPAs. Someone needs to think of them.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:26 PM
word.
and that’s not happening.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:27 PM
Wait, so someone wants to talk barbecue? Sweet!
My buddy did a brisket last weekend, looked fantastic. I need a bigger smoker, though, because my little Brinkmann POS can’t handle something that big. I max out at pork shoulder.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:27 PM
you should be confident. i think it will be a great game.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:31 PM
I’m doing a brisket on the Big Green Egg for UGA-Fla. My brisket on Labor Day weekend got rave reviews and requests for another one. Cannot wait.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:32 PM
He looks like a waiter holding a trey and then throwing it from that position.
You’re batshit insane to think that.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:32 PM
This is the first cocktail party I won’t be at in 10 years…
October 26th, 2011 at 3:34 PM
You’re batshit insane to think that.
thank you for straightening that out for me…
October 26th, 2011 at 3:35 PM
HGM–the Egg, am I wrong in thinking that there isn’t an easy way to add coals? Or is there a side-slot? Or is it just so heat-efficient that it makes one batch last forever? Because every time I find myself wanting to drop a thousand dollars on one, I pause there.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:39 PM
…and?
October 26th, 2011 at 3:42 PM
Gerard, my neighbor has one and I have asked the same question, he said the only time he has ever had to add coals is when he does something overnight, like longer than 8 hours. I think the ceramic (or whatever they are made of) insulates so well you don’t really have to add them. everyone I have talked to that has one swears by it.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:42 PM
Char-Griller. Learn it. Love it. Live it.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:48 PM
Ark–that’s kinda what I figured must be the case. They look fantastic.
Payaso–upright? Water? Pellet? What are we talking here?
October 26th, 2011 at 3:50 PM
traditional South Carolina barbecue
There is no such thing as Carolina barbecue. They slap a bunch of vingary/mustardy shit on a slab of meat and call it barbecue, but that ain’t barbecue.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:52 PM
This is the one I have. Good for both smoking and quick grilling. I’ve seen them as low as $140 during winter closeouts.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:54 PM
I did mine for 11 hours and never had to add coals. I think it can go up to 24 hours at low temps – 225-230.
October 26th, 2011 at 3:54 PM
does Snyder come back, or just become the Mayor of Manhattan?
October 26th, 2011 at 4:25 PM
Payaso–thanks, I’ll check it out later, because for whatever reason the CharGriller site is blocked at work. Messed up, man, what’s become of America.
HGM–!!!! 24 at 225? Motherfucker. That’s impressive.
October 26th, 2011 at 4:54 PM
The egg is amazing even though they are pricey. Luckily mine was a gift. I get a hell of a lot of use out of it.