The Redskins Trade Away Picks and Rack Up Debt, And They Are Looking to Do It Again
The Washington Redskins want to trade up in order to take a quarterback. This rumor item comes from the Houston Chronicle’s John McClain, who was a big fan of my ranking of coaches in order that I would want them for my team. McClain hears that the Skins are “trying like crazy to trade up” and speculates it could be for Gabbert.
Crazy is the right word. This site did a breakdown of all the draft picks the Redskins have traded away in the last eight years. Daniel Snyder treats second and third round picks like the cast of Jersey Shore treats brain cells. Since 2003, the Redskins have used only 56% of their picks in the first four rounds of the draft, trading away a total of 16. That includes a third and fourth this year for Jammal Brown and as part of the deal for Donovan McNabb last year.
I’m not one that thinks you should never trade away picks to address a need–I thought the Vikings trading multiple picks for Jared Allen was reasonable, for instance, because they were getting a guaranteed starter in his prime. I think people tend to overvalue how successful picks are. That said, though, the Redskins are so callous with the use of picks that it is disturbing. It’s one thing to occasionally trade picks for veterans, it’s another to repeatedly do it while also paying high interest rate loans by mortgaging future picks.
Bill Belichick is the butterfly collar wearing pawn shop dealer standing behind the glass case of watches. Daniel Snyder is the guy that just needs that next influx of cash so he can buy some more lottery tickets and to score a hit. The last few years, the Patriots have been capitalizing on teams’ inability to have patience and to understand the market (Armanti Edwards, anyone?), and have repeatedly traded picks that net them high interest returns by delaying gratification. The Redskins and Snyder repeatedly seek gratification by pawning future picks at high interest rates. Just go back to the last time the Redskins were hot to move up for a quarterback. They gave up a 3rd, and the following year’s 1st and 4th, to get into the last part of the first round to take Jason Campbell, one pick after Aaron Rodgers was selected.
The going rate on trading a draft pick this year for a future year is one draft round per year. Obviously, teams aren’t going to trade for a no-interest return, but by moving only one round, especially between the 1st and 2nd, or 2nd and 3rd, the rate is exorbitant. Think of it this way. Would you give up a 7th round pick now to get a 1st round pick in 6 years? I would, every single year. From 1991-2000, for example, almost half of the first round picks started 7 or more years (46.6%), compared to 4.0% of 7th rounders. That’s a huge rate of return.  Well, that’s the same thing teams are doing on a smaller scale when they trade next year’s picks. Going from 2nd round pick (30% started 7+ seasons from 1991-2000 drafts) provides a 50% increase in the chance of a long-term starter by delaying for a year.
And here the Redskins are, again, pining to move up. They keep living above their means, and are about to take out another loan at usurious rates. The third and fourth are already gone to pay of other purchases, so if they are moving up again, it will likely mean future picks. Understanding interest rates and living within your means–it’s why the Redskins are mediocre and the Patriots keep reloading. Daniel Snyder needs to take a step back and put away the credit card.
[photo via Getty]

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16 Responses to “The Redskins Trade Away Picks and Rack Up Debt, And They Are Looking to Do It Again”
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April 16th, 2011 at 6:08 PM
Yippee ki-yay, motherfucker! Wanna stay alive? Stay with me.
April 16th, 2011 at 6:13 PM
Alcohol doesn’t kill brain cells.
April 16th, 2011 at 6:24 PM
That picture made me realize I’m kinda latently anti-semitic.
April 16th, 2011 at 6:51 PM
who was a big fan of my ranking of coaches in order that I would want them for my team.
you aren’t lying. That is some brutal juice he dismissed you with. I’m going to paste it in, so nobody else has to dig around for it like I did, as it was about 37 clicks through a not very interesting chat.
John McClain: I think even Kubiak’s biggest critics would say that’s the dumbest ranking in history. Putting him behind every new coach who’s never been a head coach. Putting Marvin Lewis next to last when he’s made the playoffs twice and swept the AFC North in 2009. A preposterous list from somebody who doesn’t know much about football.
April 16th, 2011 at 7:02 PM
In fairness, it sounded like he didn’t actually read the article and assumed TBL wrote it so he meant to say TBL doesn’t know much about football which is accurate.
April 16th, 2011 at 7:40 PM
I think even Kubiak’s biggest critics would say that’s the dumbest ranking in history. Putting him behind every new coach who’s never been a head coach. Putting Marvin Lewis next to last when he’s made the playoffs twice and swept the AFC North in 2009. A preposterous list from somebody who doesn’t know much about football.
Because it’s implausible that a new hire is going to be better on average than a coach with no playoffs who wets himself or a coach with no playoff wins after 8 years. I mean, why would a team ever fire an existing coach? Dumbest move ever.
April 16th, 2011 at 7:53 PM
lisk what’s the fiercest internet battle you’ve ever had? best takedown? biggest duh moment of yer own?
April 16th, 2011 at 8:59 PM
McClain was ready to suck Vince youngs dick in 2006, he called Mario Williams a terrible draft choice.
That really tells you all you need to know.
April 16th, 2011 at 9:20 PM
This year’s draft will be interesting to see which teams panic to move up to draft a QB.
April 16th, 2011 at 10:37 PM
That’s an amazing analogy.
The most painful part of all of this, for me, is that it’s NOT just Snyder. Gibbs did this shit too, and now Shanahan and Allen – who fucking PROMISED sanity – are doing the same goddamned shit. There’s something in the water in Ashburn.
April 17th, 2011 at 11:20 AM
I think it’s mostly Snyder. He will have to sell the team before the Skins are ever consistently good again because he just doesn’t seem to get it nor listen to those who do. In the meantime, I will get to enjoy all the pain and suffering of my many friends who are Skins fans. It’s really a continuous comedy tour. See: Rex Grossman would currently be the starting QB.
April 17th, 2011 at 12:02 PM
Gibbs decisions: trading picks for TJ Duckett, Brandon Lloyd, trading up to get Campbell, trading up to get Cooley. That’s just top of my head, I’m sure there are more.
Shanahan and Allen: Trading 2nd and 4th for McNabb, trading 4th for Jamaal Brown. now apparently trading up to get 100% guaranteed flop QB.
Snyder enables with his deep pockets and complete misunderstanding of football. But the guy’s pulling the trigger here are just as culpable. Shanahan and Allen all but guaranteed they’d “build a team the right way” and are just falling into that same trap.
April 17th, 2011 at 12:03 PM
oh and Gibbs, how could I forget: trading CHAMP BAILEY AND A SECOND ROUNDER for Portis. Yeah it arguably worked out, but goes to show how recklessly even the great Gibbs treated draft picks. That would never fly today.
April 17th, 2011 at 12:05 PM
And Cerrato (basically an extension of Snyder), don’t get me started with that ass. How about a 2nd and 6th for one year of trying to fit 3-4 linebacker Jason Taylor into a run-stopping 4-3 system? The list goes on so I’ll stop now. Point is it’s not Snyder alone.
April 17th, 2011 at 1:12 PM
The trading of draft picks for veterans is nothing new in Washington. Look at how they built things in the 70′s and 80′s. They weren’t called over the hill gang for nothing. Difference is who is making calls and success rates. Pretty sure Darrell Green and Monk were only two first rounders they had for a stretch.
April 18th, 2011 at 9:11 AM
Dan Snyder is an idiot and a tool. When did writing about that become news?