2011 MLB Preview: AL Central
Opening day of the 2011 baseball season is just 15 days away. As an enthusiastic Marv Albert might say, Yesssss. So far, a lewd look has been given to the NL West, the AL West, and the NL Central. Today, it’s the AL Central, former resting place of Greg Luzinski’s gigantic head, Hal McRae’s temperament, members of the White Sox making out, and an Indians team that actually drew fans to baseball games. Right about now would be a splendid time to crack a beer with Jim Thome.
1. Minnesota Twins (2010 record: 94-68, 1st place) — Justin Morneau played 81 games last year, exactly half a season, and this team still won 94 games. That information alone should tell you everything you need to know about the Minnesota Twins, but I’ll continue. When they lost the once dominant Johan Santana after the 2007 season, they still won 88 games the following year. The Twinkies remind me a lot of the Pittsburgh Steelers defense over the last 15 years or so, in the sense that they continually plug the holes with younger players, and stay the course despite roster turnover. This season will be no different. A solid rotation in Carl Pavano, Francisco Liriano, Brian Duensing, Nick Blackburn (confirmed), and either Scott Baker or Kevin Slowey is enough to win the Central. And they will, but not before the usual 37 division lead changes and chaotic finish in the final week. Prediction: 89 wins
2. Chicago White Sox (2010 record: 88-74, 2nd place) — Many people are picking the White Sox to win the Central. I am not one of those people. Couldn’t do it. The discovery of the following video was the beginning of the freefall.
Apparently the White Sox are “coached” by Ozzie Guillen and “managed” by Kenny Williams. That’s just annoying. Might as well call bench coach Joey Cora the defensive coordinator. And “black out every home game”? With the nauseating Hawk Harrelson already firmly in place in the broadcast booth, I’m not sure this team can become any more unlikable. I do like John Danks, and I do expect Adam Dunn to go apeshit in that ballpark, but Jake Peavy is criminally overrated and Edwin Jackson is your classic Jekyll ‘n Hyde pitcher. Nothing but peaks and valleys with that clown. Second place it is. But, in first place forever is Ozzie Guillen’s wonderfully satisfying twitter feed. Prediction: 87 wins
3. Detroit Tigers (2010 record: 81-81, 3rd place) — When I first saw Jeremy Bonderman listed as a “key departure,” I drew a blank as to where he ended up signing, but that’s because he has yet to sign anywhere. According to fellow players, the 28-year-old starter plans to take the year off. Considering his fastball had been topping out at 89, that might be a good idea. So who rounds out the rotation after Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, and the man responsible for courageously bodyslamming Youkilis, Rick Porcello? Apparently Phil Coke and Brad Penny. Coke spent his first three seasons in the majors as a reliever, throwing a career high 64 innings in 2010. Penny certainly has Jim Leyland doing the Irish jig thus far, but he started just nine games last year. Those four and five spots are looking shaky, but I guess there’s always Armando Galarraga. No there isn’t. One of the names from this crop will have to be forced up. As for our pal Miggy, it’s probably a blessing in disguise that an issue arose so early on. Perhaps he’ll be able buckle down and focus for the entire season now that he basically has no choice but to do just that? Plus, lovable manager Jim Leyland — who refuses to leaves the 70s and I love him for it — told reporters yesterday not to worry about Miggy. So don’t. Jimmy knows best. Prediction: 86 wins
4. Cleveland Indians (2010 record: 69-93, 4th place) — The following two lines from FanGraphs are pretty telling; depressing, too: “The Indians look to run out almost an identical cast of players compared to last year, which is not a good sign from a group of players that had the fifth least number of runs scored in the all the majors.” Sounds like a party. “They will probably not be as bad this year, but poor hitting teams tend to play decent defense. That comparison is not true with the Indians.” A really shitty party. Remember when Grady Sizemore led off Game 4 of the ALDS with a solo shot off of Chien Ming-Wang that, for all intents and purposes, basically ended the series right there? That feels like 10 years ago. Since then, nude cell phone pics of Sizemore with a coffee mug covering his wang were leaked, and he had microfracture surgery performed on his knee. Poor guy needs a Road Beef swarm in the worst way. On the bright side? Youth! Of their five starters — Fausto Carmona, Justin Masterson, Mitch Talbot, Carlos Carrasco, and Josh Tomlin — none of them are over the age of 27. Even better, the continued presence of Chief Wahoo means the Indians once again have, by far, the coolest hat in the majors. The glass is most certainly half full. Prediction: 71 wins
5. Kansas City Royals (2010 record: 67-95,000, 5th place) — The Kansas City Royals finished the 2010 season with a run differential of -169 (676 runs scored, 845 runs allowed). Unfortunately, the arrival of Jeff Francoeur, Lorenzo Cain, and the king of captivating YouTube videos, Melky Cabrera are not going to do much of anything to change things, but hey, it’s the Royals. If you care for this team, you must be willing to see the positive in even the smallest of things, like Kila Ka’aihue, who in 30-plus at-bats in the Cactus league is batting .433. Such news should force at least a few smiles to sprout in the Kansas City area, along with the names of golden nugget prospects, Mike Moustakas and Eric Hosmer. But that’s the future, the foul smelling present tense will remain the same. Junkball extraordinaire Bruce Chen is still a member of the starting rotation and Jason Kendall, while bizarrely passionate, still sucks. The funnest part of the season for Royals fans will be mid-summer (Moustakas in June) when the highly touted prospects arrive, all working their asses off in the hopes of not becoming the next Alex Gordon. Until then, stay busy. Prediction: 68 wins
***
With the presence of Ozzie Guillen and Kenny Williams, I wanted the official song for this division to be something cheerful, and at the same time thoughtful. That’s what led me to Drowning Pool:
[Photos via Getty]


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77 Responses to “2011 MLB Preview: AL Central”
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March 16th, 2011 at 3:33 PM
Well done on the Kent Hrbek caption. He has his own outdoors sporting show on Fox Sports. I watched him try and fail to hunt wild turkeys once.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:34 PM
Good ol’ Kent Hrbek.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:34 PM
I think the season hinges on him which has me uneasy…anything with Peavy will be found money, hope they take their time with him, that was a pretty brutal injury he’s coming back from
Just hoping the bats don’t take two months to get going this year, Beckham needs to come out raking
March 16th, 2011 at 3:35 PM
Tigers got rid of Galaragga. Traded him to ‘Zona.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:36 PM
/high fives hernia
March 16th, 2011 at 3:38 PM
Twins in first? Tigers and White Sox both got better over the winter. Twins resigned Pavano.
Nuff said
March 16th, 2011 at 3:40 PM
Those three teams could finish in any order. They’re all really close. Baseball Prospectus has them separated by .3 projected wins. That’s fucking crazy.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:40 PM
Twins. I’ll keep picking them every year until they prove me wrong. Going out on a limb and saying the WC comes out of the Central though.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:41 PM
!
/fixed
That’s correct.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:42 PM
The tigers have no depth in starters. If Coke fails (probable) and Penny gets hurt (even more probable), they’re totally fucked. Andy Oliver ain’t ready yet.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:42 PM
Came across this fellas name when finishing my draft board last night. Had absolutely no clue who the hell he was. I thought for sure he had to be a pro wrestler with that name.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:42 PM
Holy shit is that Art Howe in the Rainbow Astros unis?
March 16th, 2011 at 3:44 PM
Nice post. I got the Tribe in dead last and the Twins winning the division. Tigers will choke down the stretch.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:44 PM
Good christ, Bruce Chen still pitches? For a major league team? That was easily the most surprising part of this post.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:45 PM
It would be sweet it the royals went back to sportin’ those “upscale pajamas.”
March 16th, 2011 at 3:45 PM
It is. Forgot which All-Star game Getty said it was. 89?
March 16th, 2011 at 3:45 PM
Wouldn’t be september without that happening.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:46 PM
Holy shit is that Art Howe in the Rainbow Astros unis?
The ‘rainbow’ was only on the shoulders by that time and the jersey is button down, making that around 1991 or so, but yep that’s Art Howe.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:47 PM
Revive the Tribe playing at Regressive Field this year!
March 16th, 2011 at 3:47 PM
1991 All-Star Game in Toronto is where that photo is from so that has to be Art Howe. He was sending out Jeff Bagwell, Craig Biggio, Ken Caminiti, Steve Finley and Luis Gonzalez that year. Not bad.
I want to say the legendary Jim Deshaies was the ace of that staff too. Only MS can confirm that though. I was only 8 at the time.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:49 PM
Agreed. And I love the unis up top too for the Reds. Simplicity always makes for a cleaner, sharper look when it comes to uniforms.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:49 PM
And there will be some crushing game in August or September where he’ll start and the Sox will lose to them 5-4
Things aren’t all so bad for the Tribe, Choo wasn’t sent back to serve in the Korean military
March 16th, 2011 at 3:50 PM
Wait, I think Butterbean look-a-like Pete Harnisch was also on that Astros team. I’m not sure who the #1 would have been.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:51 PM
[Gravatar image]
1991 All-Star Game in Toronto is where that photo is from so that has to be Art Howe. He was sending out Jeff Bagwell, Craig Biggio, Ken Caminiti, Steve Finley and Luis Gonzalez that year. Not bad.
I want to say the legendary Jim Deshaies was the ace of that staff too. Only MS can confirm that though. I was only 8 at the time
That was Bagwell’s rookie year. Biggio was still the catcher at that time too. Finley and Gonzalez were indeed on the team at that time too, but it was pre-roids for them. The Astros only won 65 games that year.
And yes Jim Deshaies was on that staff. It was his last year on the Astros before finishing his career bouncing around a few other teams. He’s now the Astros TV analyst.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:51 PM
Thank you for not completely dismantling the Royals decrepit roster. Literally the only thing I am looking forward to is Moustakas coming up as soon as the deadline passes for service time. Oh, and Francoeur.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:53 PM
That White Sox video has Vizquel as the 3rd baseman, guess I haven’t been following ST that closely to see if the position has been settled but that can’t be right…he takes the field on Opening Day and Ozzie might as well set his lineup card on fire
March 16th, 2011 at 3:54 PM
Viciedo went down with an injury last I remember. No idea who is filling the gap while he’s down.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:55 PM
I agree. That’s why the Tigers home jerseys are so fucking awesome. Clean. Simple. Just the Old English D. Perfection.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:55 PM
I wish I never found that thing.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:56 PM
http://joeposnanski.blogspot.com/2011/03/we-have-couple-of-royals-inspired-posts.html
If you want a good laugh, check out the Royals Hall of Fame nominees. Bruce Chen: future candidate
March 16th, 2011 at 3:57 PM
Was too late for the Twins season tickets this year (well, they said postponed, meaning it could happen still later) So bought single game tickets just now. 9 games is about 150 dollars.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:57 PM
There is nothing Omar y’amigo’s can’t do.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:57 PM
I thought they sox were going with Brent (or is it Brett?) Morrell
March 16th, 2011 at 3:58 PM
Simplicity and a gut you can rest yer arms on always makes for a cleaner, sharper look when it comes to uniforms.
yes?
March 16th, 2011 at 3:58 PM
Those are badass.
What kind of seats does that get you? Regardless, that’s a great deal.
March 16th, 2011 at 3:58 PM
Brent Morel got some run down the stretch last season and Mark Teahen tragically didn’t retire over the winter…gaping hole there and in RF unless Carlos Quentin can remember how to be good at baseball again
March 16th, 2011 at 3:59 PM
I go to a few Sox vs. Twins games every year. Got two close friends from Minnesota.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:00 PM
I like the Tigers rotation. The lineup is a little old, but I think that rotation will be the best in the AL this year.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:00 PM
Should have instead gone with one of the best old-timey team fight songs…pro sports teams no longer embracing these is a sad sign of the times
March 16th, 2011 at 4:01 PM
/high fives hernia, again
I got a 13 game package for the bleachers at Wrigley. Got a few tigers/sox tickets already to.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:02 PM
Is Twitter broken for anyone else?
March 16th, 2011 at 4:03 PM
You mean like how the cubs love this song and play it all the fucking time.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:03 PM
No kidding. That would buy you 1.687 bleacher seats at Wrigley for a decent game. Two whole ones for an April 3rd game against the Pirates.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:04 PM
Yeah, bleacher seats ain’t cheap.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:05 PM
Can’t believe I know all the words to that. Godddamnit.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:06 PM
I blame Whitlock’s war against the Fab Five
March 16th, 2011 at 4:07 PM
Farthest ones out, but like a few guys were saying that have gone to Target Field, even the Field View seats aren’t bad, as you’re looking straight across to the big screen and you can see everything.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:07 PM
This reminds me, I need to find my W flag and drape it over the rooftop soon.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:07 PM
Yeeeeeeeeeah boy!
March 16th, 2011 at 4:08 PM
/pours one out for my dead homeys
March 16th, 2011 at 4:10 PM
I did a 10-game plan a couple years ago for the Yanks and the tix were upper deck, but I was still shocked that it worked out to about $20 per ticket.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:11 PM
It’s Tribe Time Now!
/Only if it’s 2020
In all seriousness, the offense will be a ton better with Smooth back all year and (hopefully) a healthy Grady. Grady looked like shit before he got hurt, so here’s hoping that he is healed and back to 2007 levels.
Likely, their hitting goes on an upswing and their pitching crashes and burns by Memorial Day.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:13 PM
There wasn’t a single Pronk mention in this post. How many more years are the Tribe on the hook for that guy?
March 16th, 2011 at 4:18 PM
If you make it up here, let me know. Beer will have to be consumed.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:19 PM
I’d really love to get up there to see Target Field.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:20 PM
Just got MLB 2k11 in the mail today too, so this is most definitely baseball season coming soon. 15 days!
March 16th, 2011 at 4:23 PM
I’ve been too busy to pick it up. I really want to know how it compares to 2k10.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:23 PM
I’ve been enjoying the sweet, sweet sights of MLB 11: The Show for over a week now. Glad I left the 2K series in the dust after the disaster that was MLB 2K9.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:27 PM
If I had a PS3, I’d be right there with you.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:29 PM
Has there already been discussion about the NFL’s proposed rules changes for next season? It’s going to be illegal to hit a QB in the act of throwing the ball? Maybe it’s best if we just have college football from now on
March 16th, 2011 at 4:29 PM
Morel will be starting at 3rd, with Teahen backing him up and getting spot starts in the OF. Knowing Ozzie, he’ll let Teahen get 550 at-bats (The Kotsay Plan!)
Viciedo will never be a MLB 3rd baseman, he will be a (below-average) OF and he will fucking rake at the plate.
Sox win the division by 3 games over the twinks.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:29 PM
All you need to know about MLB 2K11 is this: “There’s a glitch where if a player jumps over a wall to rob a home run, the game will count it as both an out, and a home run. It happened multiple times, making me think I had gone crazy and that the MLB changed the rules of baseball.” – IGN.com review
March 16th, 2011 at 4:30 PM
Sox have a dumpster fire at third.
Who’s the Sox closer?
/85 wins will win this division
//being consistent
March 16th, 2011 at 4:30 PM
Seriously?? Why not just have the QB’s start to wear flags and make it illegal to hit them at all at this point
March 16th, 2011 at 4:31 PM
this
March 16th, 2011 at 4:33 PM
I wonder if they can fix that with a patch. I’v barely turned on my xbox since the great blizzard of ’11. hahahaha
March 16th, 2011 at 4:34 PM
They’re paying Matt Thornton like one, I expect him to handle the role just fine
March 16th, 2011 at 4:35 PM
He’ll be good. And Chris Sale would be pretty good in that role too.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:35 PM
Probably – and don’t get me wrong, The Show has some issues, too. But robbed homers counting as outs and runs? It’s mind-boggling that makes it into the final game.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:36 PM
First Spring Training game of my season, Liriano hurts his elbow and is out 4-6 months. (Please don’t let this happen in real life, please don’t)
March 16th, 2011 at 4:38 PM
Reset
March 16th, 2011 at 4:45 PM
the continued presence of Chief Wahoo means the Indians once again have, by far, the coolest hat in the majors
truer words have never been spoken on this site.
March 16th, 2011 at 4:46 PM
Chicago, 93-69
Detroit, 89-73
Minnesota, 86-76
Kansas City, 74-88
Cleveland, 70-92
March 16th, 2011 at 4:52 PM
I don’t really care who closes, or if the Sox even designate someone as a “closer.” Santos, Thornton and Sale are going to turn a lot of games into 6-inning affairs.
March 16th, 2011 at 5:13 PM
Remember when Grady Sizemore led off Game 5
Game 4
March 16th, 2011 at 5:29 PM
Viciedo was already playing in the outfield before breaking his thumb. Apparently he’s picking it up quite well. Not the fastest dude (obviously) but he reportedly picks the ball up well off the bat.
I actually hope Sale is the Sox closer. Thornton is their best reliever so I want him to stick as the set-up man and get all the high-leverage situations. He’s also being paid LESS than a closer. He signed another team friendly deal with the Sox.
Edwin Jackson is going to have a breakout year thanks to Coop. I’m going to say a 3.30 ERA and then bolt in free agency.
Oh and fuck the Twins please fall short of expectations, for once!
March 16th, 2011 at 9:00 PM
Criticism of the Tigers rotation is baseless. There rotation and bullpen are going to be outstanding. The offense will be very good. Depth will be good. Pinch hitting off the bench will be good.
The only negative will be defense, which could be absolutely putrid. Inge and Jackson are above average-to-great defensively…everybody else is below average-to-bad-to-pathetic. Magglio, Raburn, Cabrera, Guillen, Peralta, Martinez. Ugh.
Tigers, Twins, White Sox, Indians, Royals